NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d9fb90fc665bd66f9ebbe98e77fe901da70ef28f559b24b92cf135db7f803df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Raptors, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 734 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Raptors | 40c | 74,181$29,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,595.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Bulls | 63c | 25,488$16,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,430.45 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Raptors | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Bulls | 60c | 16,879$10,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800.61 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Bulls | 63c | 14,220$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,219.97 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Bulls | 60c | 12,381$7,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.08 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bulls | 62c | 10,898$6,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,137.6 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls | 60c | 8,400$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 51c | 7,538$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Raptors | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…d5bebacked Bulls | 65c | 3,097$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.66 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bulls | 66c | 3,050$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Raptors | 41c | 2,459$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bulls | 60c | 2,377$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.97 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Bulls | 60c | 2,376$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.41 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Bulls | 74c | 2,207$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.72 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bulls | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Raptors | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 36c | 1,933$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.79 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Raptors | 2c | 1,900$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Bulls | 56c | 1,800$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.06 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Raptors | 35c | 1,507$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.69 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Bulls | 64c | 1,503$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Raptors | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bulls | 62c | 1,482$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Bulls | 65c | 1,312$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.83 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bulls | 61c | 1,268$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.52 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Bulls | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.99 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 34c | 1,185$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.9 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Raptors | 15c | 1,179$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Raptors | 36c | 1,138$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.71 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls | 64c | 1,100$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Raptors | 3c | 1,065$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bulls | 59c | 1,023$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.43 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bulls | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Raptors | 35c | 970$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Bulls | 60c | 864.18$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.31 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Bulls | 61c | 826.23$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.23 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Raptors | 36c | 823$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Bulls | 61c | 812.46$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.86 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Raptors | 39c | 732.15$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.42 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bulls | 61c | 730.32$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.82 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Bulls | 62c | 716.08$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.34 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Raptors | 36c | 702.37$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.35 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Raptors | 38c | 695.74$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.79 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Bulls | 66c | 649$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.98 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Bulls | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls | 63c | 612.38$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.58 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bulls | 60c | 582.54$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.01 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Bulls | 62c | 537.01$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.06 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Bulls | 61c | 524.04$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.62 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Bulls | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Bulls | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Bulls | 61c | 446.44$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Bulls | 69c | 431.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Raptors | 16c | 408.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Raptors | 40c | 396$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Raptors | 37c | 388.77$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Raptors | 39c | 333$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Bulls | 64c | 311$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Bulls | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Bulls | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…dea4backed Raptors | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Raptors | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Raptors | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Bulls | 61c | 224.26$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 46c | 221.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3caa…4a0bbacked Bulls | 74c | 205.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Bulls | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 63c | 202.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors | 36c | 200.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…1baabacked Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…3bcabacked Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…b24cbacked Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…affbbacked Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…fb2cbacked Raptors | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d8…ddfcbacked Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac41…21b2backed Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…61febacked Raptors | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…f843backed Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc234…74b2backed Raptors | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…1176backed Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…fb96backed Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bc…53f2backed Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…7e2fbacked Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…a01ebacked Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…fdb3backed Raptors | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…7289backed Raptors | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…0932backed Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…bba8backed Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe413…7760backed Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…0bf2backed Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb709…3b5cbacked Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…4f8dbacked Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…31e9backed Raptors | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…384ebacked Bulls | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.