Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x859245cb0ca1739a712514dc47e453923d88848be77c655d76bb2d076e556461
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1826…ce7cbacked No | 59c | 87,289$51,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,500.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1eb…4062backed Yes | 41c | 87,289$35,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,500.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 43c | 15,670$6,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,939.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 58c | 11,973$6,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,964.58 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 42c | 8,338$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,838.33 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 42c | 4,443$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.74 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 53c | 4,187$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.34 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 52c | 2,159$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.1 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…db6abacked Yes | 42c | 1,116$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 60c | 1,109$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.83 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 58c | 911.83$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.86 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 75c | 740$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 73c | 673.62$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 57c | 646.03$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.38 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 59c | 560.57$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.34 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked No | 59c | 443.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 39c | 381.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.03 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 40c | 310$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 60c | 268$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 59c | 267.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.88 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 59c | 254.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 174.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 35c | 155.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Yes | 42c | 152.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 27c | 146$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked No | 61c | 130$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…e522backed Yes | 42c | 82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…9a61backed Yes | 41c | 64.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a5…5b4dbacked Yes | 40c | 62.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 40c | 55.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…8f69backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Yes | 40c | 43.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Yes | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f03…466dbacked No | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…0cf9backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 76c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1452backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-13?this page
- Will Rangers vs. Fenerbahce end in a draw?No won
- Will Rangers win on 2025-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.