Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers vs. Fenerbahce end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcce71cfb8fab21d7d3c733cfa133c4bf1801e17d0d9e7a5080057a2a2098eb1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa226…2bf9backed No | 76c | 9,992$7,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…e305backed Yes | 24c | 9,889$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…3b3fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,204$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 67c | 1,714$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.77 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 35c | 1,531$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 18c | 901.51$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 29c | 870.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 27c | 500.21$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 400.97$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 215.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 135.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…b7a3backed Yes | 23c | 126.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…5c64backed No | 74c | 97.86$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…dcc9backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…d219backed Yes | 28c | 53.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers vs. Fenerbahce end in a draw?this page
- Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-13?Yes won
- Will Rangers win on 2025-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.