Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rangers win on 2025-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb043bdb69cf3469512e8ef87b31f09c73f3c84aa092640c25454903f3f3a5247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,677$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e996backed No | 67c | 8,430$5,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 76c | 6,616$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.02 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 63c | 5,400$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.35 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 67c | 4,571$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.37 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 34c | 2,943$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 39c | 2,568$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 10c | 2,228$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 62c | 1,814$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.62 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 66c | 1,809$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.22 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 33c | 1,803$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 33c | 1,682$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 1,190$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…7587backed Yes | 34c | 1,179$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…e438backed Yes | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…8833backed No | 66c | 999.95$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 66c | 962.54$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.26 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 34c | 867.06$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.43 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Yes | 35c | 848.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 34c | 763.02$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.28 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 65c | 628.65$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.03 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 620.99$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Yes | 33c | 500.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 341$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 38c | 260.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked No | 62c | 254.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 65c | 206$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 65c | 168$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 36c | 123.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a5…5b4dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 34c | 100.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 34c | 100.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 62c | 98.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 35c | 91.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 67c | 79.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 67c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…b74bbacked Yes | 35c | 62.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9f…af72backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…7950backed Yes | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 33c | 54.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 68c | 48.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…c3c8backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 35c | 36.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 62c | 34.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Yes | 38c | 31.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe833…da80backed No | 67c | 29.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…1e25backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes | 38c | 29.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…0739backed Yes | 35c | 29.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…35b3backed No | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b6…2b9bbacked No | 62c | 25.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83cc…bd5cbacked No | 66c | 20.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked No | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rangers win on 2025-03-13?this page
- Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-13?Yes won
- Will Rangers vs. Fenerbahce end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.