NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d32d0fcaf14adfa8ebd33f8797e6cce6cc9c282137618ae6c47a251effa7830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Golden Knights | 54c | 7,027$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.86 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Golden Knights | 57c | 2,779$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.88 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 44c | 2,720$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.42 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stars | 46c | 2,418$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.9 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 2,400$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights | 62c | 2,290$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.34 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Stars | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Golden Knights | 55c | 1,918$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Stars | 78c | 1,810$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.1 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 46c | 1,717$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.06 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,651$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.25 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 46c | 1,632$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.18 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…af9abacked Stars | 39c | 1,555$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…ff28backed Stars | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…597dbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Golden Knights | 52c | 1,430$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.66 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Stars | 35c | 1,351$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.01 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stars | 45c | 1,320$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.48 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 24c | 1,206$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.28 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Stars | 26c | 700$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 39c | 667.88$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.56 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 48c | 617.78$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.25 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Golden Knights | 50c | 533.34$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Stars | 46c | 531.71$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.13 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Stars | 67c | 529.95$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Stars | 52c | 524.31$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.92 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Stars | 47c | 504.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.38 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stars | 47c | 492.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.23 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 456.13$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.19 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights | 52c | 444$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Stars | 48c | 444$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Golden Knights | 71c | 374.29$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.94 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Golden Knights | 73c | 357.82$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.8 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Stars | 45c | 330$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.87 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 47c | 299.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.53 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Stars | 47c | 227.47$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…f1d6backed Golden Knights | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Stars | 45c | 198$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 188.31$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253a…6aadbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 176.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…bf2dbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 171.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…34ebbacked Stars | 47c | 142.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…920fbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed Stars | 48c | 135.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…dc62backed Golden Knights | 53c | 128.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…d482backed Golden Knights | 54c | 126.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…dd52backed Stars | 48c | 126.42$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Golden Knights | 56c | 125.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…3839backed Golden Knights | 54c | 125.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…c6a2backed Stars | 48c | 125.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf862…e2babacked Stars | 48c | 122.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…70e8backed Stars | 48c | 121.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Stars | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…6c7ebacked Stars | 48c | 119.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…6ed6backed Golden Knights | 53c | 118.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…f11cbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 118.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…7175backed Golden Knights | 54c | 116.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…0227backed Stars | 48c | 116.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…9d0cbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 116.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3f…bf4dbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 115.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…80bbbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 113.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…03bbbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 113.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f4…d961backed Stars | 48c | 111.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…1b67backed Golden Knights | 53c | 110.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…012dbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 110.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…24f0backed Stars | 48c | 109.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…12d9backed Golden Knights | 54c | 109.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…a2f6backed Golden Knights | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Golden Knights | 53c | 109.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…9c0cbacked Stars | 48c | 109.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…22cfbacked Stars | 48c | 107.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Stars | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca49backed Stars | 48c | 106.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d9d4backed Golden Knights | 56c | 105.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…7df4backed Stars | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Stars | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Golden Knights | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Golden Knights | 52c | 103.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Stars | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b6…ed1ebacked Stars | 47c | 100.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Golden Knights | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Stars | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Stars | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Golden Knights | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Stars | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Golden Knights | 54c | 97.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9528…8c40backed Golden Knights | 54c | 93.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…1fb7backed Stars | 48c | 88.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…211bbacked Stars | 57c | 83.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Stars | 27c | 82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Stars | 40c | 74.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Stars | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Stars | 21c | 68.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5f…890cbacked Golden Knights | 79c | 68.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…3b17backed Golden Knights | 52c | 54.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.