NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9492b26f8867eeea5a9aceb1609cd63333b47dbc225fddf072aa6855a2b4cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Timberwolves | 48c | 11,415$5,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,921.58 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Suns | 1c | 10,600$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Suns | 52c | 10,254$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357.1 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Suns | 37c | 10,223$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,739.67 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Suns | 52c | 7,528$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.18 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 6,780$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.67 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Suns | 55c | 6,584$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.46 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 5,860$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.93 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Suns | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Suns | 28c | 4,648$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.41 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 4,231$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.69 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 3c | 3,657$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Suns | 52c | 3,019$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.86 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Suns | 54c | 3,007$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.78 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Timberwolves | 53c | 2,977$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.94 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,900$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Suns | 42c | 2,797$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.68 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Suns | 49c | 2,773$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Suns | 53c | 2,731$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.29 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Suns | 2c | 2,423$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Suns | 43c | 2,410$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.15 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 42c | 2,133$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Suns | 49c | 2,046$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Suns | 70c | 2,036$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.19 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Suns | 67c | 2,000$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.32 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Timberwolves | 75c | 1,977$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.44 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,960$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.59 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Suns | 50c | 1,957$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.27 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 1,952$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.48 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,949$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.86 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Suns | 62c | 1,940$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.81 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Suns | 2c | 1,877$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,873$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.72 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Suns | 1c | 1,688$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Timberwolves | 61c | 1,667$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.24 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Timberwolves | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Suns | 19c | 1,550$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.55 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Suns | 50c | 1,485$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.22 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Suns | 37c | 1,371$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.28 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Suns | 61c | 1,371$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.11 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,287$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.75 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x75c3…9059backed Timberwolves | 80c | 1,286$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,172$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.51 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,116$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Suns | 60c | 1,115$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.09 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…deb3backed Suns | 59c | 1,101$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Suns | 3c | 1,025$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…a122backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Suns | 50c | 997.19$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.6 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Suns | 42c | 956.58$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.98 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…050bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 950$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10c…9733backed Suns | 46c | 950$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 942.04$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.68 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…c841backed Suns | 39c | 934.87$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 48c | 839.02$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.1 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Suns | 51c | 836.86$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Timberwolves | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Timberwolves | 41c | 830.26$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.15 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d8…22a9backed Suns | 48c | 821.84$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 809.93$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.86 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…ab0fbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 756.27$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 746.2$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.95 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Timberwolves | 56c | 743.51$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.71 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…2361backed Suns | 46c | 727.9$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…afc8backed Timberwolves | 52c | 716.23$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…d781backed Timberwolves | 34c | 700$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Suns | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 680.12$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.65 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 649.99$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.99 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 641.85$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.25 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c66…1cb4backed Suns | 46c | 631.48$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Timberwolves | 34c | 616.26$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.73 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…d4d8backed Timberwolves | 54c | 602.85$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Suns | 53c | 590.15$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns | 59c | 570$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Suns | 47c | 565.45$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…dd41backed Timberwolves | 31c | 550.65$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.95 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Timberwolves | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 505$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Suns | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…a2c1backed Suns | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d6eabacked Suns | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…39a8backed Timberwolves | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…bbd0backed Suns | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5090backed Timberwolves | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…87c7backed Suns | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…40fabacked Suns | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…95dabacked Suns | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb25d…6ca5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…6b7bbacked Suns | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa309…66a4backed Suns | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…5d99backed Timberwolves | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…629cbacked Suns | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…560cbacked Suns | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…e576backed Timberwolves | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…db7fbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…ab59backed Suns | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.