NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ff7649303728483cc9742832a5090633710f117e8b98f46f034510fc77e42f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Warriors, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $511,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 893 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 66c | 32,367$21,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,358.94 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Heat | 34c | 27,819$9,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,247.89 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Warriors | 64c | 18,054$11,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,620.69 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 48c | 17,064$8,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,173.79 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Warriors | 47c | 12,642$5,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,963.54 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Heat | 77c | 11,776$9,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.31 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 26c | 11,241$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.12 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Heat | 72c | 10,997$7,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.41 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 36c | 8,663$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,551.47 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 38c | 8,403$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,209.92 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 34c | 8,200$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.99 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 35c | 6,469$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,218.62 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Warriors | 67c | 6,146$4,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,138.85 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 35c | 6,050$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.46 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 65c | 5,598$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Heat | 35c | 5,597$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,634.06 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Warriors | 18c | 5,532$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Warriors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Heat | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Heat | 38c | 4,887$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.97 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…d4f3backed Warriors | 65c | 4,013$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Heat | 36c | 3,870$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.24 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 35c | 3,215$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.69 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Warriors | 11c | 3,082$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.86 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Heat | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.89 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Warriors | 9c | 2,876$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.58 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Heat | 38c | 2,642$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.11 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Heat | 46c | 2,528$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.68 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Heat | 38c | 2,485$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.9 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…721bbacked Warriors | 34c | 2,448$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Heat | 40c | 2,010$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.3 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Heat | 35c | 1,879$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.77 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Warriors | 51c | 1,864$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.51 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Heat | 67c | 1,826$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.68 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Warriors | 65c | 1,800$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.81 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684a…1b69backed Warriors | 67c | 1,649$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Heat | 47c | 1,610$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Heat | 37c | 1,605$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.1 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 65c | 1,534$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.04 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Warriors | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Heat | 35c | 1,496$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 67c | 1,494$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.78 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…2c7ebacked Warriors | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…47afbacked Warriors | 67c | 1,423$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Warriors | 65c | 1,380$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 34c | 1,349$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.87 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Warriors | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Heat | 38c | 1,255$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.26 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Warriors | 67c | 1,227$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Heat | 36c | 1,182$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.77 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Heat | 32c | 1,123$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.94 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Heat | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 43c | 1,100$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…0c0bbacked Heat | 49c | 1,100$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 43c | 1,095$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.59 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Warriors | 52c | 1,073$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…11cdbacked Warriors | 66c | 1,013$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…8c14backed Warriors | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Warriors | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors | 57c | 1,000$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.25 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 47c | 985.54$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.53 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 43c | 930.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.19 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Heat | 35c | 848.33$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.85 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Heat | 38c | 844$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.28 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Heat | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Warriors | 64c | 782.38$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.99 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Warriors | 60c | 769.16$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.57 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Heat | 79c | 742.04$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…e6acbacked Warriors | 7c | 730$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heat | 64c | 705$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…3b86backed Heat | 34c | 671.88$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors | 66c | 649.93$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.95 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Warriors | 64c | 641.12$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.08 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…d541backed Warriors | 67c | 623.07$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.46 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Warriors | 47c | 600$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.85 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Warriors | 68c | 589.62$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…919dbacked Heat | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…1ff9backed Warriors | 2c | 580.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…6277backed Heat | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Heat | 33c | 538.75$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.68 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 37c | 527$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.12 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7a…ba43backed Heat | 34c | 525.68$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +192%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2ad5backed Heat | 34c | 520.24$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Heat | 38c | 510.26$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.36 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Warriors | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Heat | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…2114backed Warriors | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Warriors | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 34c | 499.64$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Heat | 34c | 480$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ae…5e11backed Heat | 34c | 463.53$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Heat | 56c | 443.66$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.21 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…cffbbacked Heat | 34c | 440.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…b42ebacked Heat | 34c | 440$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 50c | 431.46$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.93 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Warriors | 17c | 429.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.