Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd1cc2f8c631b9adedf77c9e5bdbf238dc41e9737fc1f7984f37af5cfe9af62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 12,945$5,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,688.82 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 49c | 12,685$6,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,469.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 8,359$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.04 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 6,129$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.55 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 50c | 5,643$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Yes | 50c | 4,681$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +87%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 70c | 4,262$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.53 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 24c | 3,682$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 50c | 3,130$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed No | 26c | 2,756$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,033$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.38 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 30c | 1,880$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,468$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 34c | 1,208$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.51 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 1,136$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.76 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 1,033$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.22 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 51c | 808.79$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.81 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -7.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 787.33$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 73c | 774.67$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 40c | 749.98$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 50c | 699.18$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 51c | 678.43$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.43 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 37c | 589.05$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked Yes | 55c | 564.76$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed No | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…2a75backed Yes | 47c | 522.26$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 8c | 522.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +415.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 40c | 433.32$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 25c | 419.58$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 406.3$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.95 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 50c | 364.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13e…aa0bbacked Yes | 75c | 358.07$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 50c | 356.18$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.09 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 73c | 328.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 320.07$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.15 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 29c | 304.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 54c | 271.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 50c | 270$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 51c | 262.02$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 229.85$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 71c | 218.69$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d7…ec4abacked Yes | 50c | 215.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 71c | 188.58$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked No | 49c | 182.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…fc8abacked Yes | 75c | 177.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Yes | 50c | 175.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 49c | 174.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 51c | 162$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 69c | 143.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 51c | 138$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 49c | 134$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 128.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed No | 50c | 121.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…2df7backed Yes | 79c | 119.65$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…d10bbacked Yes | 80c | 119.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 50c | 112.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes | 52c | 111.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 24c | 106.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 33c | 103.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 102.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…c658backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8dccbacked Yes | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 47c | 75.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed Yes | 79c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 51c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 51c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 62c | 71.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 42c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 50c | 68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…ddf8backed No | 27c | 65.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked Yes | 58c | 60.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Yes | 52c | 58.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d81…7edfbacked Yes | 39c | 57.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0798…80a7backed No | 51c | 56.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-02-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.