NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x445e6e1e96571dde0a38b0a28d7132c4df7af6abac557de667597473277c3181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Utah | 57c | 1,747$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.76 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Utah | 56c | 1,495$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.28 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Penguins | 42c | 1,014$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.66 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Penguins | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.98 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4655backed Penguins | 32c | 940.33$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.52 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Utah | 59c | 854.24$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Utah | 56c | 785.96$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…56d8backed Utah | 74c | 750$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Penguins | 52c | 640.57$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.57 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Utah | 55c | 619.49$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.95 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Penguins | 43c | 610.01$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.11 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah | 61c | 545.23$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.44 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah | 56c | 544.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.18 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Utah | 58c | 518.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 44c | 500.36$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penguins | 42c | 457.35$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.26 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Penguins | 28c | 441.8$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.01 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Penguins | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Utah | 56c | 399.97$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.98 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 50c | 380.6$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Utah | 59c | 357.65$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Utah | 58c | 349.83$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Penguins | 30c | 339.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.99 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Utah | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Penguins | 43c | 247.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Penguins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…154bbacked Penguins | 45c | 221.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.73 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Penguins | 45c | 218.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 26c | 213.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.73 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Penguins | 49c | 203.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Penguins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…4249backed Utah | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Utah | 57c | 155.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 62c | 146.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Utah | 78c | 134.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Penguins | 38c | 119.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…25d3backed Penguins | 44c | 118.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9be3backed Penguins | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Penguins | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…a08abacked Penguins | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Penguins | 28c | 110.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d9d4backed Utah | 76c | 110.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Penguins | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…4fb0backed Penguins | 45c | 101.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Utah | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Penguins | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 42c | 99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 45c | 95.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…ae6fbacked Penguins | 45c | 95.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342f…e786backed Utah | 57c | 95.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed Utah | 76c | 89.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71bb…9860backed Utah | 57c | 87.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…9cadbacked Utah | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…f330backed Penguins | 44c | 84.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Utah | 59c | 82.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0808…099cbacked Utah | 57c | 81.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761f…624ebacked Penguins | 44c | 78.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Utah | 68c | 75.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…c40abacked Utah | 72c | 74.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 39c | 70.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…d9cfbacked Penguins | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Utah | 75c | 66.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Penguins | 45c | 65.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…9ccdbacked Utah | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Utah | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Utah | 57c | 61.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Penguins | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Utah | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Penguins | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…c7a0backed Penguins | 43c | 51.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…6a22backed Penguins | 44c | 49.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…7a04backed Penguins | 44c | 49.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe1…622cbacked Utah | 58c | 48.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c61…910cbacked Penguins | 44c | 47.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…37f1backed Utah | 57c | 47.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Penguins | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…4dc6backed Utah | 77c | 43.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Utah | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Utah | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…2348backed Utah | 57c | 42.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…72c0backed Penguins | 41c | 41.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…d0b7backed Utah | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…17e0backed Penguins | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…339abacked Penguins | 43c | 39.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…f2d2backed Utah | 57c | 37.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6a…4bc6backed Utah | 58c | 36.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…4d29backed Penguins | 40c | 36.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…83b0backed Utah | 57c | 36.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Utah | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d8…52d7backed Utah | 57c | 34.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec5abacked Utah | 54c | 34.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…14b6backed Penguins | 46c | 34.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Penguins | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Utah | 53c | 33.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…17c9backed Penguins | 44c | 32.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7290…b182backed Penguins | 46c | 32.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…c882backed Utah | 60c | 31.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Utah | 57c | 30.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.