NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30057e14bf7b7e1bc0dfecde971420513ea067c2b42070561daa85cb4205b411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Warriors, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 831 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 4c | 37,587$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.08 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Warriors | 1c | 34,132$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.69 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…e17cbacked Warriors | 56c | 23,130$12,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,952.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Hawks | 79c | 12,786$10,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.58 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a21…e822backed Hawks | 44c | 11,937$5,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,684.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc742…33cfbacked Hawks | 44c | 11,489$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,433.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 12c | 8,942$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.31 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Warriors | 58c | 8,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.82 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Warriors | 57c | 7,396$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,215.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…29eebacked Warriors | 57c | 7,198$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…1609backed Hawks | 43c | 6,702$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Hawks | 77c | 6,631$5,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.54 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe467…d3ebbacked Warriors | 55c | 5,139$2,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Warriors | 18c | 5,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.91 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hawks | 43c | 4,687$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.81 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Hawks | 45c | 4,328$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.83 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.81 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 56c | 3,891$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Warriors | 5c | 3,819$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hawks | 57c | 3,707$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.06 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Hawks | 42c | 3,524$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.8 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Hawks | 67c | 3,498$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.65 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Hawks | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Warriors | 37c | 3,266$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Warriors | 24c | 3,199$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.83 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Warriors | 36c | 3,087$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Hawks | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.98 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks | 65c | 2,693$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.01 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 41c | 2,600$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.98 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Hawks | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Warriors | 57c | 2,480$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.75 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b1d6backed Warriors | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Hawks | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Warriors | 9c | 2,370$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Warriors | 24c | 2,300$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 58c | 2,298$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.36 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…994abacked Warriors | 55c | 2,292$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 57c | 2,214$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.04 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Hawks | 45c | 2,142$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…932cbacked Hawks | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Hawks | 44c | 1,909$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.32 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 46c | 1,664$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.9 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Hawks | 44c | 1,608$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.56 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 4c | 1,400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Hawks | 44c | 1,393$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.77 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Hawks | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Warriors | 55c | 1,320$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.45 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Warriors | 22c | 1,283$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.9 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Hawks | 79c | 1,274$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.54 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Hawks | 75c | 1,231$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.78 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Warriors | 30c | 1,162$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Warriors | 45c | 1,149$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.49 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Warriors | 46c | 1,141$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.54 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Hawks | 45c | 1,119$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.26 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,099$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.51 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Hawks | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,098$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…dc5dbacked Warriors | 2c | 1,090$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Hawks | 47c | 1,023$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.14 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…db29backed Warriors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…eefdbacked Warriors | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Warriors | 51c | 997.51$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.73 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Hawks | 45c | 964$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.2 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Warriors | 9c | 940.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Warriors | 56c | 902.98$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Warriors | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Hawks | 44c | 899.98$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…1977backed Warriors | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Warriors | 1c | 886.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks | 43c | 807.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.01 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…62b5backed Warriors | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Warriors | 26c | 783.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Warriors | 19c | 781.03$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Warriors | 10c | 778.32$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed Warriors | 56c | 729.44$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…f65cbacked Hawks | 43c | 729$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hawks | 76c | 686.25$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Warriors | 30c | 681.7$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Hawks | 44c | 679.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.89 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hawks | 44c | 677.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.64 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Hawks | 77c | 664.53$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Warriors | 51c | 663.75$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.5 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e0d8backed Warriors | 12c | 637.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Hawks | 77c | 625.06$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Hawks | 44c | 550$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 56c | 548$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.88 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks | 43c | 543.74$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.26 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a8…1aa1backed Warriors | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Warriors | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2ad5backed Warriors | 56c | 514.84$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.31 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Warriors | 32c | 510$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Warriors | 57c | 500.27$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.15 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Warriors | 57c | 495.79$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 21c | 488.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Hawks | 44c | 444$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Warriors | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.