MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e22829b547c37537bf49dcd19aeba96c2b741d9b3517c6a1eacf5a1886ce0ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Mariners | 72c | 39,471$28,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,393.85 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 47c | 33,011$15,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,375.14 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…74d6backed Mariners | 48c | 31,497$15,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,118.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…57d4backed Yankees | 52c | 30,486$15,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,633.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…0fa0backed Yankees | 51c | 29,351$14,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,367.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yankees | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 48c | 18,106$8,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,690.75 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yankees | 32c | 14,829$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,088 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b41…2521backed Yankees | 53c | 9,999$5,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…417bbacked Mariners | 47c | 9,994$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,697.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yankees | 29c | 4,176$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.52 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 41c | 3,526$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.63 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Yankees | 28c | 3,521$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.43 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Yankees | 54c | 2,867$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.37 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 30c | 2,129$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.79 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…f4fabacked Mariners | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mariners | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Mariners | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Yankees | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Mariners | 37c | 1,813$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 18c | 1,707$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.9 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 63c | 1,532$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.52 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yankees | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.2 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mariners | 48c | 1,381$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.8 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 48c | 1,235$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c2bfbacked Yankees | 36c | 1,097$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 50c | 1,083$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Yankees | 47c | 1,066$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.96 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a7…e738backed Yankees | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Yankees | 45c | 1,049$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…1d10backed Yankees | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 47c | 1,005$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.14 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yankees | 51c | 990.57$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.38 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yankees | 51c | 906.32$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.09 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Yankees | 59c | 884.66$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees | 58c | 700$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d139backed Yankees | 52c | 689$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Yankees | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yankees | 49c | 640.82$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Mariners | 26c | 609.14$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yankees | 48c | 604.16$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.69 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yankees | 53c | 565.28$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.88 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked Mariners | 36c | 556.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mariners | 57c | 521.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Yankees | 52c | 475.46$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.47 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yankees | 74c | 449.72$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yankees | 51c | 434$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef5…6014backed Yankees | 29c | 361.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.64 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Mariners | 48c | 349.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Yankees | 52c | 343.4$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +288%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…311bbacked Yankees | 51c | 322$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Yankees | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Yankees | 53c | 285.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mariners | 47c | 212.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 49c | 202.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Yankees | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yankees | 69c | 134.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Yankees | 78c | 134.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Mariners | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Mariners | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Yankees | 52c | 124.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Mariners | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mariners | 48c | 101.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Yankees | 56c | 97.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners | 47c | 95.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Yankees | 52c | 91.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 50c | 90.72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Mariners | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd686…055abacked Yankees | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Yankees | 61c | 73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Mariners | 59c | 68.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Mariners | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mariners | 48c | 56.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Mariners | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mariners | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yankees | 53c | 49.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Mariners | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Yankees | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…80c0backed Mariners | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Yankees | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…e445backed Mariners | 48c | 40.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Yankees | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Mariners | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 30c | 39.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…ac06backed Yankees | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34a…6d72backed Yankees | 52c | 35.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yankees | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…ec42backed Yankees | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…ef32backed Yankees | 53c | 29.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…99b3backed Yankees | 58c | 28.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…25a5backed Mariners | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mariners | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…bdefbacked Mariners | 50c | 25.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…1f11backed Yankees | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.