NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f8880e15ac51c637961d51057ccfeaf9c05b3202ac968dcabb8ab7f21ce4bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Timberwolves, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Raptors | 28c | 20,447$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,702.99 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…95cabacked Timberwolves | 7c | 16,114$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.02 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raptors | 43c | 12,867$5,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,360.38 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 9,515$4,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,685.93 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Raptors | 26c | 5,033$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723.77 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Timberwolves | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Raptors | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…a21fbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 3,436$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 3,075$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.65 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.97 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…35ebbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 2,800$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Raptors | 25c | 2,800$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.99 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 26c | 2,500$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Timberwolves | 5c | 2,378$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Raptors | 30c | 2,339$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.24 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…2261backed Timberwolves | 74c | 2,253$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.18 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Raptors | 28c | 2,118$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.21 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Raptors | 29c | 2,086$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.21 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…0f61backed Timberwolves | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 1,943$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.92 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…86b6backed Raptors | 27c | 1,870$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1cf5backed Raptors | 27c | 1,817$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Timberwolves | 66c | 1,796$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.04 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Timberwolves | 72c | 1,640$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.95 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Timberwolves | 73c | 1,624$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.98 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…edeabacked Raptors | 27c | 1,621$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Raptors | 27c | 1,596$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.91 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Timberwolves | 68c | 1,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…d5c7backed Timberwolves | 74c | 1,485$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Timberwolves | 74c | 1,416$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,243$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.28 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 30c | 1,203$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.64 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…0953backed Raptors | 27c | 1,182$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…1a56backed Timberwolves | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 3c | 1,091$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Raptors | 28c | 1,043$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.28 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 1,023$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.48 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Timberwolves | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.7 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…7690backed Timberwolves | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Timberwolves | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…74e7backed Raptors | 26c | 999.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raptors | 27c | 999.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.98 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Timberwolves | 72c | 993.76$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.67 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…8b38backed Timberwolves | 72c | 980$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Timberwolves | 72c | 916.53$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Raptors | 33c | 910.08$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.08 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Timberwolves | 74c | 900$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Timberwolves | 78c | 899.34$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.19 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…3ea3backed Timberwolves | 72c | 833.07$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.81 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Raptors | 28c | 828.3$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Raptors | 32c | 827.07$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.44 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Timberwolves | 73c | 796.37$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.22 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Timberwolves | 71c | 755.78$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.6 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 27c | 749.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…ed74backed Timberwolves | 73c | 748.44$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.36 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Timberwolves | 72c | 748.35$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.81 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…758bbacked Raptors | 57c | 743.17$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.27 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Raptors | 69c | 729.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.57 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Timberwolves | 64c | 604.07$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.61 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…08ccbacked Raptors | 26c | 595.6$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…7524backed Timberwolves | 73c | 561.63$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.27 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Raptors | 26c | 561.35$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.4 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Timberwolves | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Raptors | 26c | 453$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.22 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed Timberwolves | 73c | 443.71$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Raptors | 37c | 434.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.71 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed Timberwolves | 73c | 408.49$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Timberwolves | 74c | 405.36$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c2bfbacked Timberwolves | 76c | 384.33$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 73cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc618…bcc2backed Timberwolves | 72c | 380.82$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed Timberwolves | 65c | 360$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Raptors | 35c | 357.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.14 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Raptors | 25c | 351.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.94 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Raptors | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad1…7332backed Timberwolves | 73c | 340$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Timberwolves | 69c | 339.11$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.41 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 325.3$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Raptors | 28c | 323.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…42e1backed Timberwolves | 75c | 323.59$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Timberwolves | 31c | 321.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…9d96backed Raptors | 28c | 321.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…8bb4backed Timberwolves | 42c | 288.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d9d4backed Timberwolves | 74c | 276.12$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…51f5backed Timberwolves | 75c | 264.65$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors | 21c | 260.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.05 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors | 42c | 255.01$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Timberwolves | 71c | 249.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.44 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 245$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Raptors | 26c | 245$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…4fa2backed Raptors | 28c | 239.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Raptors | 41c | 220.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Timberwolves | 28c | 219.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Raptors | 26c | 215.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 62c | 215.86$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Timberwolves | 24c | 205.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…5419backed Timberwolves | 74c | 204.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…c7b2backed Timberwolves | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.