MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e47c59f06665e5710b99dfde981a9cfac8e7d299285dc4500e10061bc8b3e9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,136,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,115,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,136,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 39c | 151,275$59,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,738.24 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a0…3143backed Orioles | 2c | 131,614$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Twins | 68c | 67,748$45,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,958.56 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f86…0fa0backed Orioles | 5c | 67,355$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…e5e7backed Orioles | 1c | 51,809$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Orioles | 2c | 51,591$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Orioles | 1c | 43,470$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 42c | 35,702$15,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,130.46 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Twins | 58c | 33,647$19,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,105.29 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Orioles | 2c | 25,910$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…d0ddbacked Orioles | 3c | 22,905$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Orioles | 2c | 17,962$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Orioles | 2c | 14,079$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.1 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfd…007ebacked Orioles | 3c | 13,596$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…9686backed Orioles | 1c | 13,407$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Orioles | 3c | 12,510$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Orioles | 2c | 12,027$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Orioles | 3c | 11,613$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.64 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c2bfbacked Orioles | 1c | 11,085$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Twins | 50c | 9,585$4,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…4280backed Orioles | 1c | 8,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Orioles | 1c | 8,185$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Orioles | 56c | 7,578$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.23 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…af7fbacked Twins | 57c | 5,219$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Orioles | 2c | 4,410$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 0c | 4,185$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Orioles | 3c | 4,020$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Orioles | 1c | 3,768$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…a9c7backed Orioles | 3c | 3,466$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Orioles | 1c | 3,110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Twins | 54c | 2,802$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.16 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…3dd4backed Orioles | 3c | 2,723$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…3e65backed Orioles | 1c | 2,667$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Twins | 50c | 2,603$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.55 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Twins | 48c | 2,506$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.25 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…f4e9backed Orioles | 2c | 2,381$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Twins | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Twins | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Twins | 49c | 2,041$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +288%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…39a1backed Twins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…e5febacked Orioles | 2c | 1,646$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 47c | 1,600$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Twins | 48c | 1,596$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.74 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 46c | 1,504$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.14 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Orioles | 2c | 1,502$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Orioles | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x107e…d58dbacked Orioles | 1c | 933.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Orioles | 9c | 800$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Orioles | 29c | 674.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.97 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Twins | 47c | 528.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.11 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Twins | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Orioles | 18c | 486$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Orioles | 6c | 451.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Twins | 59c | 370.79$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Twins | 54c | 348.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…d4c3backed Twins | 48c | 341$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Twins | 53c | 270$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.28 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Twins | 50c | 254.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…066abacked Twins | 49c | 250$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Twins | 48c | 209.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Twins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Twins | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Orioles | 30c | 198.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Orioles | 9c | 192.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed Twins | 48c | 188.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 55c | 187.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Orioles | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Twins | 49c | 125.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Orioles | 51c | 124.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Orioles | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…61e3backed Twins | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Twins | 60c | 84.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Twins | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Twins | 50c | 69.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd686…055abacked Orioles | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…fa08backed Twins | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Twins | 48c | 50.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Twins | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Twins | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 48c | 49.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Twins | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Orioles | 54c | 39.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…9d66backed Orioles | 52c | 39.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Orioles | 54c | 36.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d76…fc5ebacked Twins | 49c | 32.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…a91ebacked Twins | 47c | 31.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…f263backed Twins | 48c | 31.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…162cbacked Orioles | 54c | 30.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa786…0d36backed Twins | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Twins | 47c | 30.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Twins | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Twins | 47c | 27.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…c1c7backed Twins | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…3b4bbacked Twins | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.