NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Thunder

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1569b8d16fe97e8cafbe19ae086dd20e6d4102c05f141a411a3bc07dff24049c

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Trail Blazers, Thunder
Resolved: Nov 21, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $131,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $139,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,993 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Trail Blazers	11c	11,434$1,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,273.3	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-8.4wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers	2c	7,156$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.66	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Trail Blazers	14c	6,499$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.89	91	30.8%28 W · 63 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers	15c	5,010$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749	461	31%143 W · 318 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Trail Blazers	14c	4,247$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.62	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Trail Blazers	4c	2,873$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.93	117	19.7%23 W · 94 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd08…ef3bbacked Trail Blazers	12c	2,710$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.77	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Trail Blazers	22c	2,567$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.68	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Trail Blazers	8c	2,377$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.77	191	37.7%72 W · 119 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e0…13a8backed Trail Blazers	20c	2,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Trail Blazers	16c	1,918$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.23	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Trail Blazers	14c	1,760$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Trail Blazers	26c	1,707$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.82	142	33.1%47 W · 95 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked Trail Blazers	15c	1,616$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.07	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+3.3wins	+0.20per pick	36cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcc2…758bbacked Trail Blazers	6c	1,553$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers	14c	1,500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.98	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36ed…6950backed Trail Blazers	14c	1,400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6371…c2bfbacked Thunder	80c	1,251$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.37	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	73cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Trail Blazers	22c	1,108$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.56	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Trail Blazers	15c	1,071$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.8	183	16.9%31 W · 152 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers	19c	1,008$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.25	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Trail Blazers	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2712…0f61backed Trail Blazers	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Trail Blazers	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	96	25%24 W · 72 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Trail Blazers	27c	1,000$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.23	276	42%116 W · 160 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ccd…0953backed Trail Blazers	15c	995$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.25	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Trail Blazers	20c	989.25$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.41	172	44.2%76 W · 96 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa669…9ba8backed Trail Blazers	16c	941.88$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.7	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Trail Blazers	15c	836.88$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.63	196	42.9%84 W · 112 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Trail Blazers	15c	800$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	111	46.8%52 W · 59 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Trail Blazers	16c	718$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.88	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Thunder	74c	691.65$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.11	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Trail Blazers	14c	678.57$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6708…90a3backed Trail Blazers	15c	660$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8163…e061backed Trail Blazers	16c	650$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b24…1c43backed Trail Blazers	14c	642.86$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b5…88bfbacked Thunder	80c	618.73$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.75	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+5.2wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4936…318bbacked Trail Blazers	15c	560$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f8…c356backed Trail Blazers	20c	532.78$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Trail Blazers	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	152	34.9%53 W · 99 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Trail Blazers	22c	500$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9711…3fa1backed Trail Blazers	14c	499.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-4.0wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Trail Blazers	16c	466.52$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	290	43.8%127 W · 163 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Trail Blazers	14c	400$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	220	39.1%86 W · 134 L	+14.0wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae36…c1a8backed Trail Blazers	11c	399.97$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Trail Blazers	19c	388.31$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.54	265	47.9%127 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Trail Blazers	17c	380$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	239	56.1%134 W · 105 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Trail Blazers	20c	338$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.51	81	44.4%36 W · 45 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef3b…5cefbacked Trail Blazers	18c	333.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers	7c	321.51$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.51	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Trail Blazers	27c	307.41$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	85	48.2%41 W · 44 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Trail Blazers	12c	300$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	311	25.1%78 W · 233 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Trail Blazers	28c	300$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b0…dd7abacked Trail Blazers	18c	250$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Trail Blazers	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	141	50.4%71 W · 70 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Trail Blazers	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Trail Blazers	22c	213.81$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.45	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea27…8a0bbacked Trail Blazers	21c	210.51$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	106	56.6%60 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers	17c	203.76$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.91	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Trail Blazers	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	184	37.5%69 W · 115 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Trail Blazers	17c	184.96$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.94	550	2.5%14 W · 536 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e9c…0669backed Trail Blazers	14c	184.94$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.16	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Trail Blazers	14c	178.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	94	31.9%30 W · 64 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d5b…334abacked Trail Blazers	19c	170$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.6	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-5.0wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Trail Blazers	19c	160.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	39	25.6%10 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Trail Blazers	14c	155$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.35	424	34.4%146 W · 278 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Trail Blazers	20c	149.9$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.48	241	47.3%114 W · 127 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Trail Blazers	16c	140.51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.48	127	52%66 W · 61 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62b2…d0a7backed Trail Blazers	19c	139$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.04	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2f5…9e11backed Trail Blazers	14c	135.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x893d…6b68backed Trail Blazers	16c	133.83$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	64	31.3%20 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed Trail Blazers	23c	130.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79a2…10ecbacked Trail Blazers	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x906e…99b5backed Trail Blazers	14c	121.43$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f2…f52cbacked Trail Blazers	15c	120$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…e00ebacked Trail Blazers	17c	119.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ce…2ef0backed Trail Blazers	17c	117.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…893ebacked Trail Blazers	20c	117.04$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.41	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Trail Blazers	19c	112$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.04	140	57.9%81 W · 59 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Trail Blazers	17c	109$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.53	113	32.7%37 W · 76 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Trail Blazers	19c	108.84$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.68	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…0aedbacked Trail Blazers	14c	105$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…2a44backed Trail Blazers	23c	104.35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Thunder	80c	102.41$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.48	481	37.2%179 W · 302 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…b9e5backed Trail Blazers	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	+84.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Trail Blazers	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	883	35.3%312 W · 571 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Trail Blazers	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	127	47.2%60 W · 67 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200e…e239backed Trail Blazers	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+4.7wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+29%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Trail Blazers	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82ff…8713backed Trail Blazers	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fd…d190backed Trail Blazers	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…af06backed Trail Blazers	13c	99.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…fb04backed Trail Blazers	16c	99.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Trail Blazers	16c	99.13$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7838backed Trail Blazers	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Trail Blazers	16c	93.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	100	51%51 W · 49 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Trail Blazers	12c	90.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Trail Blazers	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Trail Blazers vs. Thunder

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market