TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb90d…7db5backed Kings3c14,185$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.8530954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2712…0f61backed Hawks41c7,830$3,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,588.582231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hawks40c7,718$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,646.321,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Kings61c6,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,659.998046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks56c5,267$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.8865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Hawks41c5,023$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.211135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Kings65c4,989$3,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2434060%24 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings63c4,758$3,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Kings37c4,530$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.1629043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings53c4,406$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.7847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings1c4,352$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.821,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Hawks44c3,827$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.3621649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Hawks39c3,200$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9528439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Kings63c3,000$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.523548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x054c…9fc0backed Kings50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Hawks30c2,994$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.629130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Hawks35c2,301$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.841947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd7…547dbacked Hawks76c2,094$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kings59c2,060$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.4937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b0…4940backed Kings62c2,039$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.8560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Hawks36c2,015$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.1526547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Hawks73c1,721$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9711332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks39c1,700$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0421,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ec…66f9backed Kings63c1,585$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.551650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb464…3b89backed Hawks36c1,585$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.261127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings42c1,396$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.3161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Hawks36c1,317$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.4815034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Hawks60c1,314$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.063938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadf3…2beabacked Hawks29c1,122$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.3911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Hawks41c1,099$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.835240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3980…724cbacked Kings41c1,098$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6371…c2bfbacked Kings79c1,076$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.981258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick73cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ea…7776backed Kings66c1,074$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.452147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd08…ef3bbacked Kings48c1,050$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5091723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings60c1,022$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.421,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Hawks41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59027642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0688…d67dbacked Hawks35c924.42$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.87837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…bb92backed Kings22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47e0…13a8backed Hawks48c766.89$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.622343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Hawks43c679.21$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.339052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Kings75c599.1$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.3914057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings57c555.51$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.031,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x202d…f8dabacked Hawks26c537.58$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.583531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5853…fb3abacked Hawks37c535.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.321442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Hawks46c535.29$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9223956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Kings65c519.98$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.996947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d0…51c6backed Kings2c509.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Hawks40c502.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.689724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2967…4517backed Kings63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ff…4c5ebacked Hawks40c499.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Hawks59c489.07$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.825939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb13…1918backed Kings62c478.54$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Kings66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49fd…d190backed Hawks39c452.59$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.34030%12 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2431,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks37c399.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.996,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked Hawks34c399.85$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.91656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+69.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Hawks39c384.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6228063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Hawks56c359.18$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2621338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings43c349.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1253134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Kings64c348.42$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.991,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Hawks44c338.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8915646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Kings68c338.26$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.026533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Kings50c313.29$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.258347%39 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Kings36c308.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Kings66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cc…3e8cbacked Hawks38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf370…6e41backed Hawks50c279.96$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecc7…06b9backed Hawks38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Kings72c257.86$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.718658.1%50 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Hawks35c255.74$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.238043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6343…b430backed Hawks37c243.24$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd44…edb6backed Hawks57c240.86$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.672138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf899…a1d4backed Kings22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa444…f55dbacked Hawks80c226.04$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Kings45c222.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Hawks79c206.6$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.63369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+47.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9cf5…c7d5backed Kings65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff50…de6fbacked Hawks35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Kings63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f7…86d7backed Hawks35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Hawks62c197.91$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.211747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa743…35efbacked Kings67c192.09$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Hawks38c180$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.67337%27 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Hawks39c166.44$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7765218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Kings55c164.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.447536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x585c…175ebacked Hawks61c163.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc35e…8868backed Kings62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Kings63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Kings67c150.37$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.758548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Kings68c147.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Hawks20c140.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.710243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Hawks63c138.69$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7212131.4%38 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Hawks37c137.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.581154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9755…6fd3backed Kings37c135.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.161346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc96e…2a44backed Kings77c122.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.992025%5 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…a34cbacked Kings65c118.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Kings73c114.64$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.693151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.