NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a46bed631a9ac2da6ef39adf32fb0a153781d0012d1d85589468a16067f9c4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Warriors, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Warriors | 6c | 40,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Warriors | 13c | 33,755$4,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,441.41 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cavaliers | 79c | 26,545$20,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,697.19 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Warriors | 36c | 12,355$4,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,447.81 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Cavaliers | 64c | 9,624$6,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.85 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Warriors | 24c | 8,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cavaliers | 60c | 6,618$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.18 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Warriors | 38c | 4,433$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.47 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Warriors | 7c | 3,968$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.38 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Warriors | 38c | 3,192$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.27 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Cavaliers | 64c | 3,132$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.44 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 37c | 3,119$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.68 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 2,835$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…a37fbacked Warriors | 38c | 2,529$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.01 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Cavaliers | 60c | 2,169$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 29c | 2,032$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.4 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Warriors | 1c | 1,797$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Cavaliers | 62c | 1,522$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.47 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf322…69ffbacked Warriors | 23c | 1,450$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Warriors | 2c | 1,344$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Warriors | 39c | 1,279$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Warriors | 2c | 1,141$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Cavaliers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Warriors | 37c | 999.93$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Warriors | 37c | 999.88$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.95 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Warriors | 39c | 950$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 950$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…331ebacked Cavaliers | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307c…7f08backed Warriors | 12c | 799.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 37c | 700$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…eafebacked Warriors | 26c | 603.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…00c2backed Warriors | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Warriors | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Warriors | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Warriors | 9c | 480.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Warriors | 38c | 428.61$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Warriors | 38c | 399.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.99 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…b1ecbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 399.97$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Warriors | 3c | 364.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…1bd3backed Cavaliers | 63c | 356.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 15c | 349.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…0834backed Cavaliers | 62c | 298.24$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…8510backed Warriors | 6c | 275.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Warriors | 26c | 269.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Warriors | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…6158backed Warriors | 39c | 234.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Warriors | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 230.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…46edbacked Warriors | 11c | 214.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Warriors | 37c | 199.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Warriors | 40c | 198.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Warriors | 42c | 174.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Cavaliers | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…d823backed Warriors | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db4…487abacked Warriors | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…6320backed Warriors | 17c | 149.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…e581backed Warriors | 40c | 144.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…5374backed Warriors | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…6176backed Warriors | 37c | 134.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2462…695bbacked Warriors | 17c | 125.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked Warriors | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea30…0833backed Warriors | 40c | 124.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Warriors | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b2…3845backed Cavaliers | 59c | 119.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Warriors | 37c | 111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…9513backed Cavaliers | 62c | 110.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…2f2abacked Warriors | 40c | 105.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Cavaliers | 57c | 105.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8c…b5afbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 104.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0d…077dbacked Warriors | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…bebdbacked Warriors | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Warriors | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Warriors | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Warriors | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…ddadbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d2…473bbacked Warriors | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Warriors | 41c | 93.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8d83backed Warriors | 43c | 92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Cavaliers | 62c | 87.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…0544backed Warriors | 39c | 86.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Warriors | 37c | 84.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…6492backed Cavaliers | 62c | 83.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked Warriors | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68ad…06d0backed Cavaliers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…aedebacked Warriors | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…04c0backed Warriors | 38c | 78.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…9721backed Warriors | 24c | 78.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c48…6597backed Warriors | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1267…7c97backed Warriors | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e51…0baebacked Warriors | 34c | 73.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…08fcbacked Cavaliers | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…0c07backed Warriors | 38c | 71.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0626…2574backed Warriors | 29c | 68.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Warriors | 48c | 66.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a1…d6e3backed Cavaliers | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…47a2backed Warriors | 41c | 62.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.