Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb820493289e6dc1fa85726d5999229639e8e234179c5ef47fd082eb18e1302ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 4,613$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.83 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 18c | 4,257$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.26 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pipsqueak+4 | 1c | 4,232$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pipsqueak+4 | 36c | 2,980$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.95 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 2,582$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.29 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 2,354$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.53 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 1,906$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.23 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 6c | 1,638$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,584$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.94 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…82b5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 1,222$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Pipsqueak+4 | 56c | 1,195$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.6 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 39c | 1,067$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.7 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 36c | 1,030$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.84 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 33c | 1,011$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.52 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 892.61$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.51 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 848.59$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.37 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f9…6f5bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 815$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Pipsqueak+4 | 9c | 766.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 708.22$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Pipsqueak+4 | 69c | 706.08$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Pipsqueak+4 | 65c | 668.43$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.2 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde69…e82ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 635.93$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 594.38$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 582.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 550$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 535.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.84 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 528.16$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.62 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 510.39$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.27 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 470.82$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Pipsqueak+4 | 38c | 468.36$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 3c | 467.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 457.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.18 | 207 | 27.5%57 W · 150 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 451.58$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.37 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 430$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…0e6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.27 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 382.66$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…b719backed Pipsqueak+4 | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Pipsqueak+4 | 32c | 360.77$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 346.21$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 345.29$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 333.33$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 320$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 314.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 311.46$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Pipsqueak+4 | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 280.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 254.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 240.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed Pipsqueak+4 | 6c | 233.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 7c | 228.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 212.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef4b…f8babacked Pipsqueak+4 | 13c | 207.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 205.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Pipsqueak+4 | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 192.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Pipsqueak+4 | 34c | 191.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Pipsqueak+4 | 29c | 177.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 169.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Pipsqueak+4 | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 157.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 156.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 154.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Pipsqueak+4 | 27c | 146.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Pipsqueak+4 | 23c | 145.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 145$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 130.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 120.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 119.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Pipsqueak+4 | 66c | 112.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 112.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 111.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…8fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 105.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…f65cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 103.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 101.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…cc22backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 100.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…3542backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 100.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a32…0807backed Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…255bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6e…3eeebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 97.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…b7a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 94.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 93.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 551 | 61.7%340 W · 211 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…229cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 83.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.