TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Saints vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Saints, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…4173backed Panthers25c10,901$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,184.8116036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Saints56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48025137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Panthers25c5,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,75012827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Saints75c4,591$3,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.1712051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Panthers46c4,247$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.0314457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Panthers25c3,847$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.4432438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cfe…1b03backed Saints2c2,052$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Panthers26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4805527.3%15 W · 40 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Saints76c2,000$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51012570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Saints38c1,669$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.083743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Panthers26c1,604$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.852441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Saints73c1,587$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.2944246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Saints57c1,440$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.4720246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Saints71c1,332$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.818645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Saints76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004577.8%35 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c3a…99f0backed Panthers24c1,161$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.57425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Panthers25c1,040$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7803551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4f3…a05ebacked Saints1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Panthers23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77016832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Panthers30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70011821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Panthers25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4404…c5b7backed Panthers27c935.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.48966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+60.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Panthers23c855.71$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.1521713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Saints76c833$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.0819864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Panthers24c713.23$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.6514022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Panthers22c625.23$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.687627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Panthers40c624.91$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.822638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3275…e7fcbacked Panthers24c619.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.74042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4769…95fdbacked Saints76c567.07$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34d6…8d72backed Saints76c526.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick63cpaid-58.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Saints49c512.08$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505829.3%17 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Saints74c499.97$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9813942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Saints69c487.74$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33516451.2%84 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Saints75c486.62$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.976157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2b…b6c5backed Saints76c481.16$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…e948backed Saints76c467.07$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.974065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Panthers26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2966018.3%11 W · 49 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-55.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Saints77c389.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010452.9%55 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed Panthers10c381.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.323033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe799…3d4dbacked Panthers26c350$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2592055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Panthers42c345.24$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.246333.3%21 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Panthers26c343.03$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8414750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeae…821ebacked Panthers26c323.48$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+286.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e29…f4aabacked Panthers63c319.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4124…fe54backed Saints76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2284261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8240…cbfabacked Saints77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Panthers19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c4…0356backed Saints76c197.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Saints76c197.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e7d…93a6backed Panthers25c196.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+106.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1121…31d3backed Panthers26c190.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd51…0aebbacked Panthers27c185.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.425560%33 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Saints75c182.93$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6938459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d9…85a1backed Panthers26c153.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.85933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Panthers33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.314850%24 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Panthers24c150$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11414139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Panthers24c149.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3321…eafebacked Saints67c133.22$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.34933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Saints75c132.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005671.4%40 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…ac2bbacked Saints76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd17…0d34backed Saints76c131.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133c…c399backed Saints77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c32…09dfbacked Saints78c128.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002475%18 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Saints73c119.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.593351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0e…433dbacked Saints76c118$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.685766.7%38 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab74…3996backed Panthers26c113.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.954936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Panthers33c110.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.445038%19 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22f9…ccb1backed Saints45c110$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Saints76c105.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Saints76c103$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2827339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51c1…86a2backed Saints74c102.07$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.531127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c5…c39cbacked Saints76c101.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.112479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dae…64fabacked Saints30c101.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301625%4 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Saints45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd765…55e4backed Panthers61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.22564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a41…88d9backed Saints76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765072%36 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Saints73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9910052%52 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea58…a04bbacked Panthers26c99.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.97825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec3…9209backed Panthers25c98.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.222365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d5b…6be4backed Saints77c98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd259…0c1bbacked Saints76c97.14$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Panthers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d1a…b6dabacked Panthers26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Saints73c91.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5439242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…e92cbacked Panthers26c90$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace5…d42ebacked Saints76c80$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb1…f7eebacked Panthers21c79.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.991127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5948…e90dbacked Saints54c79.83$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd43d…e6a9backed Panthers26c79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+80.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Saints76c78.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x074f…f222backed Panthers16c78.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.911127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd866…a3e8backed Saints78c77.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Saints74c71.73$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0820736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3429…2323backed Panthers27c70$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+264.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Panthers24c70$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1513547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7801…422bbacked Saints75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3723…ad4dbacked Saints77c66.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa90…2be3backed Saints76c66.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc08e…06abbacked Saints76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Saints76c65.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.