TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Falcons vs. Buccaneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Falcons, Buccaneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Buccaneers46c21,542$9,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,832.1712051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Falcons54c10,881$5,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.4432438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Falcons54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6006734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed4…366abacked Falcons59c6,724$3,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.66785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick61cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Buccaneers34c6,492$2,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.6422638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Buccaneers46c3,526$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.9727339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Falcons55c2,244$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.912827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaea…30aabacked Falcons59c1,680$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x027e…1642backed Buccaneers44c1,680$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Falcons54c1,604$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.6213942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Falcons67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4954226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Falcons59c1,185$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.742737%10 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Buccaneers46c1,092$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.334349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8b…41f3backed Falcons56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2341…1838backed Buccaneers44c1,070$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fa…a8c3backed Buccaneers47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Buccaneers30c1,048$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.5814457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Falcons57c1,025$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.82441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94df…726abacked Falcons55c1,003$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x007a…df16backed Buccaneers43c1,003$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Buccaneers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Buccaneers47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1f…c855backed Falcons59c890$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.92657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Buccaneers47c869.15$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.375945.8%27 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Buccaneers26c707.15$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2116832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Falcons56c699.97$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.996157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Falcons54c681.82$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.8213040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Buccaneers47c640.43$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018035%28 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb49…97a0backed Buccaneers44c618.51$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2754339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc82e…2284backed Falcons58c601.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.522445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Falcons78c555$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.17655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e7…be30backed Falcons55c523.09$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe0…5e03backed Buccaneers46c522.98$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Falcons54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2305038%19 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Falcons67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16510960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed Buccaneers43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2159645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Falcons54c492.66$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2239242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Falcons57c465$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9519864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…334bbacked Buccaneers44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb370…8224backed Falcons54c445.98$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.154100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Buccaneers28c439.32$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5521713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Buccaneers9c391.28$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1252828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Falcons55c365.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.523351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4769…95fdbacked Falcons54c361.85$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Falcons58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8321454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Falcons56c300.39$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1744246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…367bbacked Buccaneers47c295.74$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Buccaneers47c287.23$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Buccaneers47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.520246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e4…31bdbacked Falcons59c248.98$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Buccaneers42c240$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.238459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b9…f457backed Buccaneers47c230$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Buccaneers46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.629356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba41…095cbacked Falcons54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Buccaneers39c199.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9924160.6%146 W · 95 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed Buccaneers43c199.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4910052%52 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Buccaneers65c185$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.252875%21 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Falcons55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.826237.1%23 W · 39 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa4bd…efb8backed Falcons54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.86058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Falcons75c180$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick66cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6583…d43ebacked Falcons55c179.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.83366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…dd4cbacked Buccaneers42c178.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d35…7178backed Falcons56c178.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc893…e3eebacked Falcons55c178.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.211040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…ee18backed Falcons55c178.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f44…01fcbacked Falcons55c178.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.211060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca75…6433backed Falcons55c178.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7487…6f2dbacked Buccaneers46c178.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…35a4backed Buccaneers46c178.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d45…604dbacked Buccaneers46c178.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fea…449fbacked Buccaneers46c178.2$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.97875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Buccaneers62c162$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Buccaneers47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.58234.1%28 W · 54 L-10.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a0e…433dbacked Falcons59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.55766.7%38 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc47b…7812backed Buccaneers47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8573…801abacked Falcons54c148.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.39633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Falcons56c143.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9320758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Buccaneers31c142.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.185925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb8…61c9backed Falcons55c133.67$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.15580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571f…a174backed Buccaneers46c133.65$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0902…7752backed Falcons77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd446…a194backed Buccaneers43c125$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+64.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71ee…7870backed Buccaneers44c114.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-74.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Buccaneers44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012760.6%77 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x08e2…e186backed Buccaneers44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507448.6%36 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedd5…63a1backed Buccaneers44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015858.9%93 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe45e…ebb0backed Buccaneers44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504833.3%16 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Falcons56c110.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8420736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c32…09dfbacked Buccaneers45c110.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502475%18 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac45…20c5backed Buccaneers65c110$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.53053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53e…e47cbacked Buccaneers47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab59…ea9abacked Falcons56c103.97$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.563351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Buccaneers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028659.4%170 W · 116 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Falcons59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6913655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d4b…1914backed Buccaneers44c101$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.442540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Falcons57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Falcons55c99.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2425453.9%137 W · 117 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1822…79babacked Falcons57c99.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.624100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Buccaneers41c99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5926331.6%83 W · 180 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9426…4e83backed Buccaneers44c98.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.