Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham vs. Man Utd end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31de3b3976325ff4e345ed6ba33e925c07910941009ce3a512d994a05cc1881a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 43c | 5,556$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.18 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,434$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Yes | 8c | 760.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 23c | 720.73$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.22 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Yes | 75c | 535.2$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed No | 73c | 497.97$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +1,419.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x717a…7476backed Yes | 68c | 440.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 75c | 350$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf646…ff01backed Yes | 27c | 331.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2557…d991backed Yes | 66c | 306.12$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 27c | 268.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…9efcbacked Yes | 27c | 268$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 41c | 241.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 33c | 220$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Yes | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d616backed No | 67c | 170$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked No | 33c | 168.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +329.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…d059backed Yes | 29c | 148.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked Yes | 26c | 99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fa…43adbacked No | 75c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 44c | 76.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…ff3abacked Yes | 31c | 57.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2c98backed No | 76c | 52.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…444cbacked Yes | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…d874backed Yes | 73c | 30.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…d83bbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed No | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked No | 77c | 23.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a2…f408backed No | 72c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham vs. Man Utd end in a draw?this page
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-27?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-10-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.