Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2024-10-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ee99955cfad9b30cce0fb98258bc7be6d916a99208d5711831afeb98686d5f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 69c | 2,997$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.67 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 66c | 2,513$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.23 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b2…841cbacked No | 8c | 1,817$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 73c | 1,310$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.86 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 12c | 1,171$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.81 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Yes | 31c | 999.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +1,419.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 52c | 673.21$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.36 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Yes | 31c | 649.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.82 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…a2aabacked No | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 30c | 468.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.68 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 30c | 433.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 41c | 432.3$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.95 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 26c | 388.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.46 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 29c | 384.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.72 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked No | 71c | 371.69$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2450…947ebacked No | 71c | 354.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked No | 69c | 320$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 30c | 265.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.16 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed No | 71c | 249.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…36bebacked Yes | 59c | 248.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No | 71c | 221.11$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…73d5backed Yes | 21c | 174.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 45c | 172.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked No | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 69c | 150$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 30c | 143.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed No | 71c | 141.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 27c | 98.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…1dfbbacked No | 69c | 97.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 73c | 90.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 69c | 86.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 39c | 74.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 68c | 73.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…444cbacked Yes | 78c | 63.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…e861backed No | 72c | 62.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Yes | 57c | 61.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 33c | 61.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 69c | 52.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf441…ffddbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 31c | 50.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 75c | 50.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…feb3backed Yes | 25c | 50.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…9f23backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…fff1backed No | 69c | 48.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 32c | 46.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…5b74backed Yes | 30c | 39.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 29c | 37.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 30c | 34.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…d874backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e4…abb3backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x911e…5de1backed No | 53c | 28.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…1688backed No | 71c | 28.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…c8b3backed No | 69c | 22.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…8861backed No | 71c | 21.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6849…fbdfbacked No | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…bcd5backed No | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2024-10-27?this page
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-27?No won
- Will West Ham vs. Man Utd end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.