Premier League · resolved market
Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2847f870969c0bb4c4a0042e9014d8f5c54eb8f028805c933452ca54e694190c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd4a…c3f5backed Yes | 0c | 20,011$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 60c | 4,357$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.85 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 40c | 2,511$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.58 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 55c | 2,370$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.49 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 44c | 2,228$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.2 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 54c | 1,395$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.06 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…fe86backed Yes | 46c | 1,212$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed Yes | 43c | 1,155$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 56c | 899.92$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.96 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 49c | 853.77$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.16 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 43c | 806.11$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.63 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed No | 57c | 786.51$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +1,419.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 62c | 698.21$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.83 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 44c | 685.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 28c | 675$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 3c | 620$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 51c | 437.96$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2450…947ebacked Yes | 47c | 428.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 26c | 413.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae15…7883backed Yes | 43c | 405.72$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 44c | 399.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.78 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Yes | 45c | 321.74$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 47c | 302.87$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 54c | 279.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 44c | 276.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 56c | 268.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 39c | 263.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 56c | 229.53$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 45c | 223.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 54c | 202.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…9efcbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 51c | 195.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed No | 60c | 174.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed No | 60c | 165.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 44c | 156.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 59c | 153.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0b77backed Yes | 43c | 150.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…b376backed Yes | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 50c | 125$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed No | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…bd72backed Yes | 46c | 119.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yes | 45c | 111.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 44c | 105.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6677backed Yes | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2557…d991backed Yes | 50c | 100.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…9898backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…89a1backed No | 54c | 92.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…d683backed Yes | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…feb3backed Yes | 45c | 50.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 55c | 50.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…d547backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -64%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…e6fdbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 40c | 42.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…a4acbacked Yes | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked No | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…b11bbacked Yes | 48c | 36.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255b…7284backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Yes | 41c | 34.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 48c | 33.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 60c | 33.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…a3b9backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…01c4backed Yes | 47c | 31.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…1ae5backed Yes | 43c | 31.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…10d5backed Yes | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b76…78e3backed No | 59c | 21.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-10-27?this page
- Will West Ham vs. Man Utd end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham win on 2024-10-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.