NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd76243d3f42272930f5caa774fcdd7bc5a043217b88277de56a86480cd42916f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Raptors, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,868 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Raptors | 14c | 20,088$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.25 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 1c | 8,452$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Raptors | 14c | 6,485$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…65f2backed Raptors | 23c | 6,268$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bucks | 77c | 5,618$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.92 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Raptors | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks | 75c | 3,701$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.66 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Raptors | 27c | 3,300$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Raptors | 28c | 2,569$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.88 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bucks | 72c | 2,142$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.1 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 27c | 2,141$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.67 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bucks | 74c | 1,824$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.37 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…d6f9backed Raptors | 28c | 1,782$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Bucks | 78c | 1,717$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.92 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…ba26backed Raptors | 26c | 1,554$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.04 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Bucks | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…5ceebacked Bucks | 75c | 1,378$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…8828backed Raptors | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba2…6151backed Raptors | 2c | 1,037$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Raptors | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2eb…f1b0backed Raptors | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afc…2f6fbacked Bucks | 78c | 956.42$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Raptors | 11c | 902.86$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Raptors | 25c | 801.96$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Raptors | 23c | 750$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433e…3f60backed Raptors | 28c | 723.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…8a18backed Raptors | 28c | 721.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 6c | 710.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Bucks | 74c | 675.56$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Raptors | 3c | 631.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Raptors | 13c | 631.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…6765backed Bucks | 77c | 588.23$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…3d68backed Raptors | 25c | 588.2$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Bucks | 74c | 580.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Raptors | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Bucks | 75c | 570.4$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Raptors | 12c | 557$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…3719backed Bucks | 78c | 544.93$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Raptors | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Raptors | 24c | 499.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.22 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…2e3cbacked Raptors | 23c | 494.38$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…685cbacked Raptors | 4c | 479.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Bucks | 73c | 445.62$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…004dbacked Raptors | 25c | 444.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks | 79c | 399.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…30adbacked Raptors | 27c | 392.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…150cbacked Raptors | 28c | 380$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…8201backed Bucks | 73c | 379.86$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Raptors | 25c | 368$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Raptors | 26c | 364.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…9ba4backed Raptors | 25c | 360.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Raptors | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…336fbacked Raptors | 28c | 332.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…92b9backed Bucks | 73c | 330.14$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…b70abacked Raptors | 28c | 325$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…c192backed Bucks | 73c | 324.66$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Raptors | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Bucks | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Raptors | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Raptors | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Bucks | 75c | 277.06$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…5419backed Bucks | 77c | 261.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Raptors | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Bucks | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…c55ebacked Raptors | 29c | 231.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91f…b7fabacked Raptors | 24c | 212.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Bucks | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Raptors | 26c | 205.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…33c1backed Raptors | 13c | 202.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bucks | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Bucks | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Raptors | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Bucks | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Raptors | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Raptors | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Bucks | 73c | 190.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…92d1backed Raptors | 28c | 190$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…2196backed Bucks | 74c | 188$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…865ebacked Raptors | 24c | 177.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Bucks | 73c | 176.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Bucks | 79c | 155.53$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Raptors | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Bucks | 72c | 149.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88bc…3990backed Bucks | 72c | 142.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…7036backed Bucks | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…f257backed Bucks | 75c | 134.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…34e0backed Raptors | 27c | 133.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Bucks | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Raptors | 23c | 130.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bf…7eacbacked Raptors | 24c | 129.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Raptors | 26c | 125$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb063…40d6backed Raptors | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…318bbacked Raptors | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Raptors | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…c7b2backed Bucks | 73c | 102.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef7d…946dbacked Raptors | 29c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Bucks | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Bucks | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.