NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd06f4abec1e4a460f46e7d5862df10a119f31f2d2980ddf0194777ffcca46572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Packers, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Packers | 64c | 17,900$11,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,489.92 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Jaguars | 41c | 15,498$6,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,311.97 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Packers | 66c | 15,034$9,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jaguars | 34c | 13,588$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.49 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Jaguars | 36c | 11,579$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.31 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Jaguars | 34c | 8,493$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.62 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Packers | 62c | 6,185$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.11 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Jaguars | 37c | 5,638$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.44 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…822ebacked Packers | 65c | 5,383$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Jaguars | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.93 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jaguars | 36c | 4,954$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.15 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jaguars | 38c | 4,700$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Packers | 68c | 3,185$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.71 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +11.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Packers | 65c | 3,099$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.76 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Packers | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.75 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Packers | 60c | 2,160$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.97 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Packers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Packers | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe799…3d4dbacked Packers | 64c | 1,609$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…30aabacked Jaguars | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e0…1b1ebacked Packers | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Jaguars | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Jaguars | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…a8c3backed Packers | 64c | 765.63$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Packers | 64c | 699.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Jaguars | 36c | 697.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5951…37a8backed Jaguars | 37c | 694.89$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…08e3backed Packers | 64c | 625.88$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Packers | 66c | 606$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.04 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Jaguars | 37c | 550$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Jaguars | 32c | 549.95$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.45 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…5fb2backed Jaguars | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Packers | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Packers | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…f8adbacked Packers | 64c | 490$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d0…751dbacked Jaguars | 34c | 490$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Packers | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Packers | 68c | 424.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.69 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Packers | 65c | 414.83$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c86…b48ebacked Jaguars | 35c | 405.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Packers | 65c | 402.74$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…e009backed Packers | 64c | 401.13$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…b428backed Packers | 64c | 400$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Packers | 67c | 342.39$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17fc…a628backed Packers | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Jaguars | 47c | 307.66$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…3734backed Packers | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Packers | 68c | 259.03$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Packers | 64c | 250.08$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Jaguars | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…d351backed Packers | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…e90cbacked Packers | 67c | 211.18$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Packers | 64c | 210.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Packers | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…286ebacked Packers | 65c | 202.86$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Packers | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Packers | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Packers | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa4…50ccbacked Packers | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8573…801abacked Packers | 64c | 185.19$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Packers | 66c | 175$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed3…6334backed Jaguars | 35c | 169.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Packers | 71c | 168.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d6…60d3backed Packers | 66c | 166.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…a222backed Jaguars | 12c | 162.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…6632backed Packers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Packers | 64c | 154.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Jaguars | 62c | 154$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Packers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ef…ce99backed Packers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Packers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…91e2backed Packers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…2284backed Packers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Jaguars | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8e…014bbacked Packers | 68c | 148.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c32…09dfbacked Packers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Packers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b9…8116backed Jaguars | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Packers | 66c | 134$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…c6d3backed Packers | 67c | 133.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Packers | 64c | 130.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Packers | 78c | 127.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Packers | 67c | 123.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Packers | 67c | 118.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Packers | 64c | 115.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Packers | 65c | 114.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Jaguars | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Packers | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 116 | 73.3%85 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5458…8664backed Jaguars | 36c | 101.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Jaguars | 36c | 101$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Packers | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…f4efbacked Packers | 65c | 99.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Jaguars | 35c | 99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…9caebacked Jaguars | 36c | 98.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…eb92backed Packers | 65c | 97.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47b…7812backed Jaguars | 37c | 85.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Jaguars | 36c | 83.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Jaguars | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Packers | 66c | 79.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Packers | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.