TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ramsof Rams, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$559,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$597,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb35b…fc08backed Patriots4c25,200$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.5317823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Patriots35c16,399$5,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,706.5736246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…a715backed Rams67c10,644$7,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.56825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Patriots33c9,515$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,139.8325137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Patriots33c7,777$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.274131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Patriots31c7,413$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.5122638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dda…8b1ebacked Rams65c6,934$4,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.871464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Patriots1c6,553$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.414311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Rams61c6,141$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.0814763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Patriots34c6,088$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Rams78c5,634$4,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.752544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd93…cbb9backed Patriots33c5,500$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8151020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac58…b485backed Rams67c5,500$3,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Patriots42c5,257$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.2614457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec7c…69aebacked Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b5…a7dfbacked Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9a…83d6backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaac…3e9dbacked Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ce0…61c9backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d24…ed0bbacked Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa527…b702backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac3…aa83backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb04b…4cc6backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f4…ec16backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8298…92b2backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f1…7944backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92c4…cbe5backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b0…fe32backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412b…f117backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6869…2650backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6504100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7d3…3c57backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6504100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd16…c77fbacked Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77ad…9c2fbacked Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b4…3791backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b25…8208backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b17…1f86backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb7…96d7backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f56…5711backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…a1e9backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb46c…9e19backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1d…5e7cbacked Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…8e55backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7734…ff65backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aef…0100backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0e…bd07backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a6…71f9backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x332f…d5f7backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x936e…df07backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7231…5986backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6011…d9d0backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecc1…602fbacked Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x060e…782ebacked Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedaf…54f8backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52bf…e39abacked Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2b…23d7backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3970…ede1backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5f…96efbacked Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a48…ee2dbacked Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a9…b20ebacked Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdb7…d370backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de6…aed3backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02d…ac41backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x444e…3fe3backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ff…cb1cbacked Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fa…7bb6backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d5…2fe6backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f8…5a3fbacked Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c2…a248backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…fc22backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…cb73backed Patriots33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd4…9095backed Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c8…31bcbacked Rams67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6504100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Rams55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9912570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Patriots40c4,993$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.5744246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Rams56c4,061$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.7414837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Rams66c4,026$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.77857.7%45 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x124c…1b30backed Rams66c3,021$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Rams66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.8910738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Patriots29c2,961$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.073946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1361…822ebacked Rams67c2,896$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.562556%14 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5445…58f0backed Patriots40c2,519$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.153333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e3…2b53backed Patriots34c2,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Rams74c2,233$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.876956.5%39 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbab1…0256backed Patriots35c2,227$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x552b…4bd3backed Patriots24c2,064$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28aa…a986backed Rams66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Patriots32c1,879$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.3832438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Patriots2c1,826$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422119%4 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0836…e691backed Rams66c1,817$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b52…8cf9backed Patriots32c1,759$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b0…4940backed Rams67c1,516$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.31330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-49.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf238…19a9backed Rams68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ded…8861backed Patriots32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Patriots34c1,497$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0424738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Rams46c1,426$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.215429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Rams66c1,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9328556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Patriots15c1,111$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6511821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf68…f18cbacked Rams67c1,015$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Patriots34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34013040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Rams67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33010467.3%70 W · 34 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.