TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Texans vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Texans, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$514,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$515,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,651 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 710 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked Jets54c51,530$27,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,634.8412051.7%62 W · 58 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…2758backed Texans48c48,699$23,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,246.926071.7%43 W · 17 L+11.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Jets53c31,098$16,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,483.947853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Jets52c28,767$14,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,806.1327339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd398…c487backed Jets57c19,433$11,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,370.854634.8%16 W · 30 L-8.7wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Texans22c17,603$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,887.8610639.6%42 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Jets40c16,286$6,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,728.056734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee5f…9a8bbacked Texans63c15,849$9,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,984.7330%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Texans45c14,609$6,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,623.5510334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jets55c13,549$7,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,137.236246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Texans48c13,248$6,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,414.011540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Texans44c10,558$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.4325137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Jets69c10,358$7,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.7214457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Texans49c10,120$4,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,942.9314452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Texans45c10,114$4,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,503.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Jets54c9,260$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.561844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Jets52c7,933$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.876950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Jets53c7,810$4,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.021566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jets52c6,826$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,309.0644246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x438a…62e5backed Jets54c6,536$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.241625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Texans26c5,974$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.355429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf440…2747backed Texans47c5,462$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5542045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Jets54c5,324$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.053411.8%4 W · 30 L-8.1wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-69.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Texans48c5,181$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004577.8%35 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Texans44c5,001$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.963043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jets52c3,720$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.0222638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Jets57c3,594$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.318645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Texans2c3,372$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0133328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Texans45c3,300$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.9319654.1%106 W · 90 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Texans45c3,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.999952.5%52 W · 47 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Texans50c2,884$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.774422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Jets51c2,417$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.3232438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Texans60c2,309$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.679359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Texans44c2,280$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.117847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb866…36d4backed Texans44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.983336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x59ef…0a27backed Texans46c2,157$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a4f…79fbbacked Jets56c2,155$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72e8…687ebacked Jets53c2,147$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed6…e8aabacked Jets54c2,109$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.87837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fa…a8c3backed Texans48c2,098$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Texans44c2,014$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.661769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70e…54bfbacked Texans43c2,007$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Jets52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.989645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Jets52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9828556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf84b…3e6cbacked Jets55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.971225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x558f…5742backed Texans44c1,897$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…406abacked Texans64c1,750$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.83650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jets57c1,708$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.5313942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e55…d3bbbacked Texans47c1,595$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeafa…f03abacked Texans43c1,582$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe799…3d4dbacked Texans47c1,500$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7102055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked Texans46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8af…f391backed Jets53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91f…e659backed Jets53c1,479$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.264841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18fe…7f05backed Texans65c1,472$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.07560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Texans42c1,353$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.5724738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa3…f82dbacked Texans45c1,220$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.122429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Texans42c1,202$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50414445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Jets54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5526157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Jets53c1,156$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.52619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Texans49c1,143$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.951650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Texans45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006237.1%23 W · 39 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Texans45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9811346.9%53 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Texans46c1,092$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Texans47c1,065$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c65…a0b7backed Texans45c1,057$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Jets59c1,056$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.984673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd323…9e96backed Texans60c1,054$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf4e…a86dbacked Texans48c1,041$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Texans49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Jets60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Texans46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cec…1e3dbacked Texans50c999$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.54339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Texans53c995.89$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53110768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Texans42c989.5$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.091127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Texans47c982.45$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.752740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2b…ed08backed Jets53c942.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.21526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x357a…8c2ebacked Texans33c926.63$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x442a…1bc7backed Jets57c924.21$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29f8…28e5backed Texans47c910.64$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4201…4334backed Jets55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+215.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jets54c899.87$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.9410738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jets58c870.82$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.1239754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76c5…5303backed Texans47c851.49$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bac…47b3backed Jets55c851$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Texans48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3842157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Jets64c789.88$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.4222838.6%88 W · 140 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c4…3bd7backed Jets57c760.82$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b89…b2aabacked Texans16c760.46$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.925738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb9c…73bebacked Texans50c707.34$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8248…2d68backed Jets58c698.5$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Texans43c693.48$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005829.3%17 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc3f8…d7d3backed Texans43c689.79$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb664…8669backed Texans43c675.8$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Texans48c669.35$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.0830743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dcc…7153backed Jets54c665.43$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.651566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+106.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb88…0e56backed Jets49c652.99$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9212…2ff6backed Texans46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Texans43c630$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.313255.3%73 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x242f…286ebacked Texans43c614.65$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.31154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.