TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Vikings vs. Jaguars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vikingsof Vikings, Jaguars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,214
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,214 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae76…dce5backed Jaguars26c20,398$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.8327339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Vikings62c14,099$8,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,414.810334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Vikings76c10,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40012570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdcfa…4386backed Vikings75c9,547$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.33850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Jaguars23c7,531$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.7832438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed Jaguars24c5,761$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.745846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Vikings74c5,278$3,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.237857.7%45 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Jaguars25c5,000$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.512827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Vikings76c4,349$3,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.681947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jaguars32c4,144$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.7522638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Vikings76c4,000$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9605472.2%39 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Jaguars26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jaguars28c3,730$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.8944246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c7…8371backed Vikings68c3,693$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.922245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Vikings74c3,673$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.019259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Vikings76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.584577.8%35 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Vikings73c2,552$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.475848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Jaguars24c2,481$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.8413751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c93…a26dbacked Vikings62c2,429$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Jaguars25c2,251$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.693141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Jaguars17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3408729.9%26 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3657…b843backed Vikings65c1,914$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+46.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Jaguars27c1,893$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.583551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd64…0a67backed Jaguars25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d7…cce8backed Vikings75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Jaguars25c1,430$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.621520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jaguars4c1,361$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.924311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Jaguars33c1,351$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Vikings59c1,314$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.7821151.2%108 W · 103 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Vikings63c1,244$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.8120733.8%70 W · 137 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…ac2bbacked Vikings66c1,099$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.56580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x529d…47cfbacked Vikings76c1,053$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.63771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Vikings76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Vikings75c1,000$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25524351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Jaguars24c999.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9916832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Jaguars26c900$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.639242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b0…69c8backed Jaguars24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Vikings76c833$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9219864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Jaguars26c775.59$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5421713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Vikings62c772.63$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.255429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Vikings70c771.4$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.418144.8%81 W · 100 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceea…8c07backed Jaguars34c699.99$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2389645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2eb…f1b0backed Vikings74c659.98$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Jaguars24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed Vikings66c616.67$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.671861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4a7…2196backed Jaguars24c599.95$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf012…c29dbacked Jaguars26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Vikings65c553$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4825453.9%137 W · 117 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd323…9e96backed Vikings68c540.86$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.08366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jaguars30c506.26$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2414022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1cf…5f36backed Vikings77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Vikings75c499.99$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12418051.7%93 W · 87 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb88…0e56backed Jaguars26c474$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd1…2cf2backed Vikings67c469.06$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Vikings76c460.53$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.531675%12 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Jaguars26c444$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4420736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Vikings73c408.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3410768.2%73 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Vikings77c398.99$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.0114457.6%83 W · 61 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc252…5bb4backed Jaguars28c374.68$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9180%0 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Vikings67c374.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.015829.3%17 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Vikings66c355.7$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.723351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd3…6d92backed Jaguars29c334.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b95…136fbacked Vikings75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.331553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Vikings76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.9514452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Vikings76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7214750.3%74 W · 73 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93d0…0c2ebacked Vikings63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11113255.3%73 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Jaguars33c299.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9940%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe49d…e091backed Jaguars24c299.58$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce88…4d96backed Vikings77c298.7$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Vikings68c295.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4416259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Jaguars36c279.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7701…24e6backed Vikings76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1616845.8%77 W · 91 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0c…ad8ebacked Jaguars25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0948…5de7backed Jaguars25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Vikings66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2719564.6%126 W · 69 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Vikings66c211.93$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4337556.3%211 W · 164 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Vikings72c200$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.538459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Jaguars26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Vikings76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4820949.8%104 W · 105 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Vikings76c199$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.764772.3%34 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec3…9209backed Jaguars26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jaguars15c192.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.552828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Jaguars34c180$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.44763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b8…38c5backed Jaguars27c166.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd31…f196backed Jaguars32c161.53$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.351346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Vikings74c161.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4216275.3%122 W · 40 L+17.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2629…417cbacked Jaguars25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Vikings73c157.45$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5128556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad38…73ccbacked Vikings68c154.28$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Jaguars33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-61.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe2b…ed08backed Jaguars26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb775…2205backed Vikings68c147.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.284658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Vikings75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Jaguars25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Jaguars20c140$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.414818.2%27 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Vikings74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1411673.3%85 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Vikings74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.147177.5%55 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x891b…eee1backed Vikings75c132.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.849151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d96…a478backed Vikings76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa457…a415backed Jaguars35c130.49$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.