NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22e400b00b8cf1f3d46d39c1754a07803891e654863f7279df519df515ff2d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Dolphins, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Dolphins | 28c | 23,636$6,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,730.36 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Bills | 73c | 13,293$9,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.18 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Bills | 71c | 5,640$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.6 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Dolphins | 28c | 4,507$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.03 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Dolphins | 33c | 4,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Dolphins | 37c | 4,421$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.29 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Dolphins | 32c | 3,425$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.53 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Dolphins | 45c | 3,416$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.75 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Dolphins | 26c | 3,160$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.42 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Bills | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Bills | 51c | 2,086$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.98 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Bills | 72c | 2,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Bills | 53c | 1,881$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.32 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Dolphins | 29c | 1,711$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Bills | 50c | 1,517$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Bills | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.94 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Bills | 72c | 1,455$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.15 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Bills | 47c | 1,400$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bills | 66c | 1,239$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.03 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Bills | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Dolphins | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Bills | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Dolphins | 28c | 999.91$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Bills | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Dolphins | 29c | 837.91$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Dolphins | 27c | 799.92$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Bills | 64c | 781.52$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.68 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Dolphins | 51c | 751.53$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Bills | 71c | 742.17$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.56 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bills | 73c | 741$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.07 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a58…a860backed Bills | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Bills | 73c | 678.81$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Dolphins | 26c | 632.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Dolphins | 24c | 601.69$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bills | 73c | 599.98$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5335…0b0fbacked Bills | 45c | 561.29$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Dolphins | 29c | 514.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.19 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…94cbbacked Dolphins | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Bills | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked Bills | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Bills | 68c | 460.77$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Dolphins | 31c | 451.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Bills | 73c | 450.85$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.52 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Bills | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…fc4cbacked Bills | 54c | 394.54$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.55 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Dolphins | 26c | 362.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Dolphins | 28c | 359.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Bills | 60c | 349.3$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…286ebacked Bills | 73c | 340.02$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.81 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…6bd3backed Dolphins | 31c | 327.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…ff35backed Bills | 71c | 321.32$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Dolphins | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…b2a7backed Bills | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18cb…7364backed Bills | 54c | 265.14$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…38a7backed Bills | 60c | 251.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Dolphins | 28c | 247.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…5fb2backed Bills | 72c | 247.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…0650backed Dolphins | 18c | 235$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…937ebacked Dolphins | 29c | 230$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Bills | 72c | 229.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…1224backed Bills | 73c | 228$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bills | 55c | 227.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Bills | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Dolphins | 29c | 225$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…eafebacked Dolphins | 31c | 208.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…1ecabacked Bills | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf183…979cbacked Dolphins | 31c | 205.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Bills | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Bills | 71c | 200.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Bills | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Bills | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Bills | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Bills | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Dolphins | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Dolphins | 25c | 199.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Dolphins | 36c | 199.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b90…9df3backed Bills | 72c | 196.49$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Bills | 71c | 183.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Bills | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Bills | 72c | 179.17$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Bills | 61c | 176.04$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf3…6bf4backed Bills | 69c | 174.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…0aedbacked Dolphins | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…e632backed Bills | 58c | 171.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…4252backed Dolphins | 29c | 165.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Bills | 60c | 161.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…eef9backed Dolphins | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…4b4bbacked Bills | 72c | 153.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Dolphins | 8c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Dolphins | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Bills | 69c | 145.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Bills | 70c | 143.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c32…09dfbacked Bills | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Bills | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Bills | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…36a1backed Bills | 72c | 131.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Bills | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc0…e009backed Bills | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c46…d88ebacked Bills | 72c | 125.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Bills | 72c | 123$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.