UFC · resolved market
Imavov vs. Allen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x605a1573c1e978bffabc532dbabcde7b2025e0da26d9b16acd2a7623700a0a34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imavovof Imavov, Allen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Allen | 35c | 6,744$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.51 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Imavov | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Allen | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Allen | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Imavov | 66c | 1,119$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.96 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…634cbacked Imavov | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Imavov | 77c | 570.86$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…ec9dbacked Imavov | 79c | 439.1$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…5e01backed Imavov | 65c | 265.67$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Imavov | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Allen | 36c | 178.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Allen | 35c | 165$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…177fbacked Allen | 35c | 148.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…6a77backed Allen | 66c | 140.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Allen | 32c | 135.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Imavov | 67c | 130$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Imavov | 41c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked Imavov | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Imavov | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Imavov | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7929…cb49backed Imavov | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Allen | 33c | 70.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Allen | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb26…8251backed Allen | 34c | 58.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…1983backed Allen | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…6673backed Allen | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Imavov | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Imavov | 64c | 45.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Imavov | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Imavov | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Imavov | 68c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…086dbacked Imavov | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Imavov | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Imavov vs. Allenthis page
- Charrière vs. MirandaCharrière won
- Gomis vs. BritoGomis won
- Jousset vs. BattleBattle won
- Moicano vs. Saint DenisMoicano won
- Ziam vs. FrevolaZiam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.