UFC · resolved market
Gomis vs. Brito
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0321e07721e84288792db5278f4f444edd0a876aeda9eac48f7bcf022df0b7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gomisof Gomis, Brito
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Gomis | 26c | 3,892$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Brito | 74c | 3,851$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Gomis | 26c | 3,555$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.7 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Brito | 1c | 2,947$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Gomis | 28c | 2,483$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.47 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Brito | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Brito | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brito | 73c | 1,172$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.36 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…f9a4backed Gomis | 77c | 1,167$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Gomis | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Brito | 67c | 700$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Gomis | 61c | 543.1$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.05 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Brito | 73c | 212$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.76 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Brito | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Brito | 72c | 183.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…3d68backed Gomis | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Gomis | 32c | 125$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Gomis | 25c | 111$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Gomis | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Gomis | 25c | 70.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Brito | 67c | 62.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…6673backed Gomis | 32c | 62.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Gomis | 37c | 61.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Brito | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Brito | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Gomis | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…cbc1backed Brito | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…66a9backed Brito | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d0…50b9backed Brito | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…89ffbacked Brito | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gomis vs. Britothis page
- Charrière vs. MirandaCharrière won
- Imavov vs. AllenImavov won
- Jousset vs. BattleBattle won
- Moicano vs. Saint DenisMoicano won
- Ziam vs. FrevolaZiam won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.