NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae59a2bc6a82fb4a2b6c9b053571c62036caaef5c58d2559ccdd25060e33958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Colts, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Colts | 27c | 9,912$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,711.98 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Colts | 36c | 7,357$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.94 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Texans | 68c | 6,069$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.2 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Colts | 33c | 5,938$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.57 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Texans | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Texans | 68c | 4,311$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.42 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Colts | 32c | 2,193$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.72 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Texans | 66c | 2,015$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.8 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…3819backed Texans | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c37…e06abacked Colts | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…71aebacked Colts | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db5…726fbacked Texans | 69c | 1,400$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Texans | 66c | 1,166$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.67 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…1ae7backed Colts | 14c | 1,114$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Colts | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…e7a3backed Colts | 14c | 700$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Texans | 69c | 645$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.86 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Texans | 65c | 581$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.54 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Texans | 69c | 434.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Colts | 19c | 423.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Colts | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…d93ebacked Texans | 68c | 390.13$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Colts | 34c | 378.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Texans | 80c | 330$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colts | 20c | 320.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc0…8c5ebacked Texans | 72c | 310.71$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…be30backed Colts | 33c | 303.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…0aedbacked Colts | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Texans | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Texans | 66c | 278.95$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Texans | 66c | 269.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Colts | 32c | 266$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Colts | 31c | 260.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Colts | 23c | 253.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texans | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Colts | 29c | 226.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…367bbacked Texans | 68c | 215.75$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Colts | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Texans | 68c | 208.82$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Colts | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Texans | 68c | 198.53$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…2677backed Texans | 68c | 185$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…b428backed Colts | 36c | 171.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Colts | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Colts | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Texans | 68c | 161.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceff…85fdbacked Colts | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…e88abacked Colts | 33c | 151.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…9741backed Texans | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…6632backed Texans | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texans | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Colts | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Texans | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Texans | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 116 | 73.3%85 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Texans | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Texans | 68c | 138.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Texans | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Texans | 69c | 128$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Texans | 67c | 119.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Texans | 68c | 112.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…c107backed Texans | 68c | 108.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Colts | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Colts | 33c | 104.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Colts | 34c | 101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…214abacked Colts | 32c | 100.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…fbbebacked Texans | 69c | 100.07$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Texans | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Texans | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Colts | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Colts | 32c | 99.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Colts | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…8224backed Texans | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8573…801abacked Colts | 33c | 87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…65e7backed Colts | 32c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…5468backed Texans | 67c | 83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Colts | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Colts | 32c | 74.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Texans | 67c | 74.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Texans | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Colts | 54c | 73.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0d…8b53backed Texans | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Texans | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Texans | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Texans | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…a8afbacked Colts | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…771cbacked Texans | 68c | 69.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…ac71backed Colts | 32c | 69.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Colts | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6be…1758backed Colts | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…e795backed Colts | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 38cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Texans | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e8…5d3dbacked Texans | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c95…4a1dbacked Colts | 33c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…26acbacked Texans | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked Colts | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba2…f2aabacked Colts | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ee…7870backed Colts | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5847…b159backed Colts | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…1712backed Colts | 33c | 48.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…7a88backed Colts | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.