Fifa International · resolved market
Will Netherlands beat Hungary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc49ebf5a6a587882aa024bf4d45a7b549717aa9d0aab31f64970798c552acae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 59c | 10,459$6,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,191.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1780…1b2dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 41c | 9,277$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460.64 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 41c | 7,786$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.86 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed No | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.9 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 59c | 1,739$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.11 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 19c | 890$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 59c | 850$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 32c | 311$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a2…30d9backed Yes | 59c | 305.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…7678backed Yes | 59c | 300.34$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…6229backed No | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…3370backed Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…8125backed Yes | 59c | 114.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed No | 80c | 70.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 20c | 70.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146b…2e37backed Yes | 58c | 63.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…57edbacked No | 42c | 62.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 68c | 55.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 56c | 54.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…31b3backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…a22cbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed No | 42c | 34.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands beat Hungary?this page
- Will Hungary beat Netherlands?No won
- Will the match between Hungary and Netherlands end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.