Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat PSV?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b154256b60c21c24ea1820f9b5078b31d05cf022728134880b7d5dffc12b2bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 72c | 1,750$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 28c | 1,750$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 28c | 1,438$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.47 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 64c | 1,171$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.21 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 26c | 399$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 43c | 384.03$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.85 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…366cbacked Yes | 74c | 380.35$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 71c | 282.72$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 41c | 280.46$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.13 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 48c | 259.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 21c | 255.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 52c | 221.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…ef38backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 77c | 206.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…1f5abacked Yes | 58c | 188.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…f534backed Yes | 48c | 164.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 23c | 140.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 55c | 129.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 76c | 119.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 49c | 101.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…bbdebacked No | 28c | 86.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0ca9backed Yes | 76c | 62.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…1032backed Yes | 78c | 55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 61c | 53.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 70c | 49.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 62cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 33c | 38.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -10.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…511ebacked No | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…07d3backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x475b…9c94backed Yes | 62c | 33.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…bdfbbacked Yes | 62c | 32.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…191fbacked Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 75c | 26.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…daecbacked Yes | 71c | 26.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…bd79backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6073…ab13backed Yes | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Yes | 63c | 19.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…8d58backed Yes | 76c | 19.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf73…b864backed Yes | 74c | 18.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain beat PSV?this page
- Will PSV beat Paris Saint-Germain?No won
- Will the match between Paris Saint-Germain and PSV end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.