NFL · resolved market
Saints vs. Chargers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bfe2bf9237386a2b9e8ccb5453ce596ad0c1d2f75d969af4b9f8e6eae0c9795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Saints, Chargers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Chargers | 73c | 36,300$26,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,764.13 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Saints | 28c | 20,675$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760.35 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Saints | 13c | 16,838$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.44 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Saints | 8c | 9,700$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…8371backed Saints | 26c | 7,538$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Saints | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.95 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Saints | 25c | 4,747$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.7 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Saints | 7c | 4,479$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.57 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Saints | 27c | 4,359$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.5 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Chargers | 75c | 2,734$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.5 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Chargers | 78c | 2,696$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.54 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Chargers | 75c | 1,656$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.92 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…e7a3backed Saints | 32c | 1,287$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Saints | 25c | 1,201$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Saints | 12c | 1,136$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Saints | 27c | 1,000$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.14 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Saints | 19c | 850.64$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.62 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Chargers | 75c | 833$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Chargers | 66c | 619.36$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.58 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…eee1backed Chargers | 71c | 600.23$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.07 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Saints | 23c | 559.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Saints | 26c | 519.23$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Saints | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Saints | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Chargers | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Saints | 25c | 499.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Saints | 27c | 493.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.89 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Saints | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Chargers | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed Chargers | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…719ebacked Saints | 8c | 392.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…0207backed Saints | 26c | 376.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Saints | 25c | 370.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Saints | 16c | 369.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Saints | 41c | 368.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Saints | 41c | 366.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…7f05backed Chargers | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Saints | 36c | 308.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chargers | 73c | 299.98$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Saints | 27c | 296.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Chargers | 74c | 280$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked Saints | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Saints | 12c | 220$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…4fa3backed Saints | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Saints | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Chargers | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…1712backed Chargers | 75c | 185.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Saints | 24c | 179$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…e88abacked Saints | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…84fbbacked Saints | 9c | 160.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Chargers | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Chargers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ee…7870backed Saints | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2e…edf9backed Chargers | 75c | 130.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…d3d2backed Chargers | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Saints | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…e795backed Saints | 26c | 108.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 38cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Saints | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 241 | 60.6%146 W · 95 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Saints | 39c | 99.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Saints | 25c | 99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Chargers | 74c | 94.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…bd72backed Chargers | 67c | 91.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Saints | 27c | 83.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7819…eccebacked Saints | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Saints | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…2e62backed Saints | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc00…122dbacked Chargers | 77c | 72.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…c276backed Saints | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Saints | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…f696backed Saints | 27c | 67.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…6f9ebacked Chargers | 76c | 62.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47db…9b16backed Saints | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Chargers | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Saints | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed Chargers | 68c | 56.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Saints | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Chargers | 63c | 54.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Saints | 46c | 53.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…bcd5backed Chargers | 76c | 51.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked Saints | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…428fbacked Saints | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Chargers | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…4666backed Saints | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked Chargers | 72c | 48.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Saints | 26c | 47.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0150…a67abacked Chargers | 75c | 46.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…918bbacked Saints | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Chargers | 72c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dc…0b20backed Saints | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…1470backed Chargers | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c9…f035backed Chargers | 75c | 42.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…405ebacked Chargers | 70c | 39.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Chargers | 75c | 36.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Chargers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Chargers | 71c | 34.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…a6b5backed Chargers | 74c | 34.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…cc32backed Chargers | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…c5dcbacked Chargers | 78c | 30.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…f4bebacked Chargers | 75c | 30.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844f…d6a8backed Chargers | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.