NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x688d769b72e664a19733bda49e5e47d9b6affe2b8eb51eb69d433ed4a04cb49d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Heat, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb833…3ff7backed Magic | 57c | 14,641$8,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,278.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Magic | 9c | 13,149$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,903.83 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 40c | 10,631$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.91 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6925…8189backed Heat | 43c | 8,578$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Heat | 42c | 6,541$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.13 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 53c | 5,435$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.64 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…94f5backed Magic | 57c | 4,667$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Heat | 44c | 4,445$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.82 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…87e5backed Magic | 65c | 4,007$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.59 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x756b…500fbacked Magic | 57c | 3,307$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat | 42c | 3,077$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.04 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Heat | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Heat | 1c | 2,647$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 28c | 2,044$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.06 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Magic | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Heat | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.81 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Magic | 27c | 1,842$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.86 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 1c | 1,658$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Magic | 33c | 1,611$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.64 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Magic | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Heat | 1c | 1,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Magic | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Magic | 45c | 1,459$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.89 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Heat | 44c | 1,295$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.7 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 49c | 1,288$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.54 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Magic | 11c | 1,225$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.92 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Heat | 78c | 1,129$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.08 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Heat | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Magic | 9c | 911.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.25 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Magic | 59c | 900$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.37 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Magic | 34c | 870.05$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.2 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…821cbacked Magic | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Heat | 78c | 801.6$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.25 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…bd4fbacked Heat | 53c | 765$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…670ebacked Magic | 47c | 765$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 36cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…a119backed Heat | 53c | 756$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb3…b1c1backed Magic | 47c | 756$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…5fc6backed Magic | 48c | 730$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ec9bbacked Heat | 52c | 730$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Heat | 77c | 721.65$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.11 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Heat | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 10c | 670.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.6 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 42c | 660.09$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.49 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Magic | 18c | 635.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.46 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Heat | 68c | 627.17$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 42c | 612.51$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.26 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Magic | 21c | 601.26$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.01 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…9200backed Heat | 53c | 601$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…405bbacked Magic | 47c | 601$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +180.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…f044backed Magic | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…c023backed Heat | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…e7f1backed Magic | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6972…12acbacked Heat | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Magic | 6c | 584.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.59 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…5419backed Heat | 79c | 564.45$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.36 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x043a…97cdbacked Heat | 61c | 555$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Magic | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…17e9backed Magic | 57c | 528.92$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Magic | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2594…ea50backed Heat | 60c | 522.02$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…df99backed Magic | 40c | 522$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Heat | 41c | 500.04$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.42 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Heat | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2a…505dbacked Magic | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…004fbacked Heat | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…4423backed Magic | 59c | 491.81$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…d499backed Heat | 62c | 455$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15eb…95cabacked Magic | 38c | 455$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +117%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e4…d5d4backed Heat | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…9987backed Magic | 59c | 450$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Heat | 42c | 400.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e3…77e0backed Magic | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…480abacked Heat | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…78ccbacked Heat | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…699fbacked Magic | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Magic | 58c | 394$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…a563backed Heat | 5c | 381.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 44c | 380$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.32 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa27…eea1backed Magic | 47c | 367$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…14d7backed Heat | 53c | 367$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Magic | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Heat | 65c | 321.22$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.54 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…f90fbacked Magic | 58c | 315.97$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.71 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Magic | 58c | 314.69$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.63 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…a071backed Magic | 39c | 305.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02d…109dbacked Magic | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…213ebacked Heat | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Heat | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…82f5backed Magic | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…0527backed Heat | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Magic | 59c | 270$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…dc6abacked Magic | 27c | 265.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 43c | 250$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Magic | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0cc9backed Heat | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…5726backed Magic | 21c | 250$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…cd69backed Heat | 42c | 247.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.