NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa01aa81546a6d37fdc34fcf70ab0e09ce5d056df7dc92ef25ed95dc95a38fd40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Hurricanes, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Hurricanes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Islanders | 55c | 2,513$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.45 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 2,432$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.47 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Islanders | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.96 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Islanders | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 35c | 1,195$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.05 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Hurricanes | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes | 70c | 1,000$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.3 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Hurricanes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Hurricanes | 14c | 801.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.17 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Hurricanes | 65c | 760.34$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Islanders | 70c | 644.64$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hurricanes | 20c | 404.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hurricanes | 6c | 311.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 28c | 310$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Islanders | 36c | 274.83$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.89 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Hurricanes | 54c | 270$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Hurricanes | 38c | 249.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Hurricanes | 34c | 231$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Islanders | 38c | 214.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes | 64c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Hurricanes | 48c | 170$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Hurricanes | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Hurricanes | 63c | 149.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Islanders | 40c | 124.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hurricanes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Hurricanes | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…c496backed Hurricanes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Hurricanes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Islanders | 36c | 99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…2929backed Islanders | 36c | 98.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Hurricanes | 37c | 83.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Hurricanes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Islanders | 40c | 70.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders | 37c | 60.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Hurricanes | 64c | 58.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Hurricanes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Hurricanes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Hurricanes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…dd4cbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Islanders | 37c | 45.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Islanders | 35c | 44.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…51dfbacked Islanders | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…37f7backed Hurricanes | 61c | 29.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…f175backed Islanders | 39c | 29.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Hurricanes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.