NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66f808bf8d1e44a4912ad891859daf9b0d7ab3d8d8222398d507960f8d50a30a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $517,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $591,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 58,023$23,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,429.35 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Timberwolves | 39c | 26,087$10,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,892.91 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Nuggets | 62c | 24,297$14,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Nuggets | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Timberwolves | 38c | 18,440$7,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,432.62 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Nuggets | 55c | 17,637$9,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,676.32 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Nuggets | 63c | 17,605$11,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,091.31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Nuggets | 20c | 11,174$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.8 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 10,559$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,186.69 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 55c | 9,670$5,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,313.79 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 54c | 9,599$5,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,459.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 8,025$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.51 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Nuggets | 62c | 7,830$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851.6 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Timberwolves | 65c | 7,773$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.76 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 80c | 6,491$5,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.78 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 60c | 5,846$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.02 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Nuggets | 26c | 5,503$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.92 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Nuggets | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Nuggets | 1c | 4,800$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Nuggets | 60c | 4,245$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Nuggets | 9c | 4,121$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.12 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 64c | 3,663$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.54 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed Timberwolves | 60c | 2,960$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.96 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 2,889$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.19 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,807$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1f1ebacked Nuggets | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,668$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.08 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Nuggets | 26c | 2,435$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.01 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Nuggets | 46c | 2,163$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,868$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.76 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,773$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.65 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f3b3backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,738$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…f63dbacked Nuggets | 63c | 1,738$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…482abacked Timberwolves | 37c | 1,730$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…0917backed Nuggets | 63c | 1,730$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Timberwolves | 40c | 1,669$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.44 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,661$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Nuggets | 62c | 1,650$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 63c | 1,604$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.3 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…50c2backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,576$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nuggets | 61c | 1,550$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.5 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Timberwolves | 40c | 1,521$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Nuggets | 8c | 1,498$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Nuggets | 61c | 1,439$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.27 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…f3d9backed Nuggets | 56c | 1,394$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…1f3fbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 1,393$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nuggets | 1c | 1,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Nuggets | 44c | 1,291$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.87 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Nuggets | 36c | 1,233$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…cecfbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 1,212$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e16…ce1ebacked Nuggets | 64c | 1,175$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1738…5456backed Timberwolves | 36c | 1,175$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Timberwolves | 38c | 1,171$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.85 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,164$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.8 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Nuggets | 43c | 1,164$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Nuggets | 60c | 1,135$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 1,104$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.41 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,054$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.94 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,008$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.13 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Nuggets | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.83 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Timberwolves | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Nuggets | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Timberwolves | 73c | 999.97$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c2…6649backed Nuggets | 62c | 999.43$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 63c | 952.96$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.37 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Nuggets | 54c | 941.44$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.43 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Nuggets | 57c | 858.51$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.63 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…aac6backed Timberwolves | 38c | 840.5$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Nuggets | 49c | 831.47$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.42 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Nuggets | 54c | 828.45$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Timberwolves | 38c | 799.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.99 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Timberwolves | 35c | 781.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.3 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves | 39c | 747.59$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.77 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 48c | 745.13$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.03 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 61c | 699.88$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.67 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Nuggets | 62c | 698.63$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.15 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 693.65$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.95 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Nuggets | 63c | 659.79$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 37c | 638.77$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.43 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Timberwolves | 67c | 620.31$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.71 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Timberwolves | 39c | 613$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.32 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 587.47$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.49 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x405a…6382backed Timberwolves | 36c | 562.4$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 41cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…0dc6backed Nuggets | 64c | 562.4$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nuggets | 2c | 559.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…8d54backed Timberwolves | 51c | 548.22$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Nuggets | 15c | 540$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Nuggets | 60c | 528.52$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.11 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Nuggets | 28c | 515.39$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.53 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Nuggets | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…a9d8backed Nuggets | 22c | 500$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6860…ef1fbacked Nuggets | 5c | 499.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…5d81backed Timberwolves | 61c | 494.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 490.11$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.11 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nuggets | 36c | 481.01$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.