NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08525a7c4dbb3f519f166df1209db2bf274cfdc194b5a4c8f5a1461b63392d1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Heat, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $414,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $430,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 433 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Heat | 8c | 51,824$3,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.27 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Pistons | 35c | 11,543$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,543.48 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Pistons | 79c | 11,507$9,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.16 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 31c | 11,168$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.72 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Heat | 65c | 9,611$6,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,245.42 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat | 65c | 9,342$6,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.01 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Pistons | 47c | 7,183$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,842.86 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed Pistons | 60c | 6,970$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.36 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 36c | 6,010$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.37 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 40c | 6,002$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Heat | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 15c | 5,601$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.23 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Heat | 63c | 5,405$3,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.99 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Heat | 67c | 4,477$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.59 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 2c | 4,393$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 37c | 4,198$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.61 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pistons | 47c | 3,896$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.95 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…bc0ebacked Heat | 38c | 3,875$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…6bd1backed Pistons | 56c | 3,575$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.23 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…c1aebacked Heat | 56c | 3,572$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Heat | 1c | 3,550$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Heat | 63c | 3,479$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…cdb6backed Pistons | 37c | 3,227$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.03 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Pistons | 38c | 3,053$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.98 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Heat | 8c | 2,923$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…5b92backed Heat | 58c | 2,701$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 30c | 2,549$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.4 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e082backed Heat | 2c | 2,440$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pistons | 75c | 2,358$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.66 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Pistons | 78c | 2,293$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.55 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…bb89backed Pistons | 73c | 2,227$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Pistons | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.95 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Heat | 65c | 1,965$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581c…7f94backed Pistons | 35c | 1,964$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.04 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Heat | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons | 24c | 1,666$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.31 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Pistons | 79c | 1,523$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.38 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Heat | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Heat | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…9bdabacked Heat | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Heat | 37c | 1,489$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.79 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Heat | 18c | 1,439$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.94 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…ad17backed Heat | 63c | 1,272$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Pistons | 36c | 1,270$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pistons | 33c | 1,250$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.5 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Pistons | 64c | 1,249$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.4 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Pistons | 50c | 1,242$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.05 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 40c | 1,188$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.64 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Heat | 55c | 1,182$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.85 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pistons | 36c | 1,161$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.44 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…a0fdbacked Heat | 64c | 1,063$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…df4cbacked Heat | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b8babacked Heat | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…8222backed Pistons | 36c | 999.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…ce8bbacked Pistons | 35c | 999.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Pistons | 41c | 976.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.78 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Heat | 67c | 903.96$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Pistons | 65c | 903.18$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…9182backed Pistons | 36c | 900$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…1537backed Heat | 64c | 900$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Heat | 31c | 877.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.67 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Pistons | 70c | 854.1$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.23 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Heat | 48c | 837.79$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Heat | 9c | 804$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Pistons | 33c | 800$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Pistons | 36c | 767.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.45 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…ece7backed Heat | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…f2d3backed Pistons | 35c | 757.14$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5c…151ebacked Heat | 63c | 749.96$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…3f9fbacked Pistons | 35c | 749.94$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Heat | 36c | 744.42$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Pistons | 36c | 728.31$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 32c | 720.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Heat | 17c | 717.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Heat | 24c | 716.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…c256backed Pistons | 37c | 678.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked Pistons | 39c | 661.58$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.39 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Heat | 61c | 655.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.61 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Heat | 64c | 638.73$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.79 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…aac6backed Pistons | 38c | 628.03$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.03 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x25f9…451fbacked Pistons | 37c | 622.7$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…9b56backed Heat | 63c | 620.63$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Heat | 23c | 618.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…e8ebbacked Heat | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 67c | 589.47$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.21 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 55c | 579.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.54 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Heat | 63c | 566.15$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.67 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Heat | 52c | 537.9$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.4 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 36c | 516.72$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.4 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Heat | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…0644backed Heat | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 60c | 499.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…532abacked Heat | 59c | 495.64$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…49e3backed Heat | 65c | 490.77$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 50c | 484.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Pistons | 36c | 440.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.13 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…826bbacked Heat | 34c | 428.48$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Heat | 57c | 405$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.85 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.