Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Frankfurt beat Viktoria Plzen?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb355f149ae40ac4ace5f32d4742ad79b426eaa07ab301df71d9a402df0ee1c0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5135…8839backed Yes | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 28c | 4,552$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.92 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 27c | 2,757$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,787$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.71 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes | 2c | 1,750$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,376$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.49 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 72c | 828.27$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 72c | 700$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 13c | 600$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf2…729ebacked Yes | 73c | 501.52$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 74c | 500$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…2c9ebacked Yes | 75c | 267.72$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 26c | 228.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.37 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 74c | 171.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.35 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…694abacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…93dfbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed No | 28c | 128.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed No | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 115.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404d…f132backed Yes | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb14…9a92backed No | 29c | 82.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…ebd9backed Yes | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 72c | 81.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Yes | 72c | 75.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 72c | 75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 73c | 72.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…657bbacked No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…0fa1backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…e3a1backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…a5a7backed No | 28c | 54.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…fef3backed Yes | 73c | 51.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked Yes | 71c | 46.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…3a69backed Yes | 69c | 40.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d0…c678backed Yes | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…3e01backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff5…6543backed Yes | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…65e7backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Frankfurt beat Viktoria Plzen?this page
- Will Viktoria Plzen beat Frankfurt?No won
- Will the match between Frankfurt vs. Viktoria Plzen end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.