NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07e4dc6dbb3e1609873c29de523e2299eb3125f9f39b4ef0c544227bb98ab50d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Knicks | 72c | 10,868$7,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.53 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Pistons | 6c | 9,048$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.89 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Pistons | 5c | 6,111$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.95 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Pistons | 28c | 3,774$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.07 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Pistons | 32c | 2,775$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Pistons | 12c | 2,550$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons | 30c | 2,100$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.6 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Pistons | 14c | 1,350$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pistons | 31c | 1,300$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Knicks | 70c | 1,010$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.1 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Pistons | 29c | 999.9$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.97 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Knicks | 69c | 778.24$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.25 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pistons | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Pistons | 11c | 649.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Knicks | 79c | 607.75$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.07 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Knicks | 69c | 506.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Pistons | 29c | 506.89$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Knicks | 71c | 394$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Knicks | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Pistons | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Pistons | 31c | 165.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d3…08adbacked Pistons | 23c | 165.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed Pistons | 31c | 160.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Knicks | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Pistons | 21c | 149.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Knicks | 70c | 142.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Knicks | 72c | 141.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Knicks | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Knicks | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Knicks | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Pistons | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…1dfbbacked Knicks | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Knicks | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…413fbacked Pistons | 22c | 66.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Pistons | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…2922backed Knicks | 71c | 59.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…8959backed Pistons | 31c | 50.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00a…1a53backed Knicks | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…73b7backed Pistons | 31c | 37.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…9bc6backed Knicks | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3a…170bbacked Knicks | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…d004backed Knicks | 69c | 27.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d1…c822backed Knicks | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…2071backed Knicks | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.