NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa359646f3090873984dc364fc2aadf6c69586d238360ebef09a48fff1ed51e8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Magic, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Magic | 8c | 4,218$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.37 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Magic | 26c | 3,546$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.87 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dc…92e9backed Magic | 9c | 3,084$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…822ebacked Cavaliers | 74c | 3,074$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 12c | 2,856$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.45 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Magic | 15c | 2,180$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.48 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 2c | 1,867$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Magic | 6c | 1,493$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Magic | 4c | 950$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Magic | 21c | 950$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Cavaliers | 72c | 928.51$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Magic | 27c | 759.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Cavaliers | 72c | 665.58$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.36 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Magic | 6c | 627$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Cavaliers | 80c | 605.4$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Magic | 27c | 542.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…6811backed Cavaliers | 71c | 495.65$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Magic | 28c | 423.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Magic | 19c | 359.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Magic | 25c | 339.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Magic | 28c | 261$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Cavaliers | 74c | 251.66$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers | 74c | 249.97$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 180$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Magic | 28c | 151.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Cavaliers | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 27c | 147.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Cavaliers | 73c | 145.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d51…df73backed Cavaliers | 73c | 141.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…3fc8backed Cavaliers | 70c | 138.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…d295backed Cavaliers | 74c | 137.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…5ab3backed Cavaliers | 73c | 136.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Cavaliers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Cavaliers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Cavaliers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…535fbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 132.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ab…d820backed Cavaliers | 73c | 131.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 131.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4000…df60backed Cavaliers | 73c | 128.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Cavaliers | 73c | 121.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Magic | 25c | 118.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86a…086abacked Cavaliers | 73c | 115.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120c…6337backed Cavaliers | 74c | 114.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…c6fabacked Cavaliers | 73c | 112.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Magic | 16c | 109.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8b…56d0backed Cavaliers | 74c | 108.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Cavaliers | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Magic | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…ebbcbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 101.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Magic | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Magic | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…0387backed Cavaliers | 74c | 98.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cavaliers | 72c | 96.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e7…2173backed Magic | 28c | 96.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…96a9backed Cavaliers | 74c | 92.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…73eebacked Cavaliers | 72c | 92.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6648…5ba5backed Cavaliers | 73c | 86.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Cavaliers | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…3bdbbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 81.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…c737backed Cavaliers | 74c | 79.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Cavaliers | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…cca6backed Cavaliers | 73c | 75.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Magic | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…25ccbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe819…24f8backed Magic | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…c768backed Cavaliers | 73c | 71.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Cavaliers | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…f091backed Cavaliers | 74c | 66.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x244b…c990backed Cavaliers | 73c | 64.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…beb6backed Cavaliers | 74c | 60.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…4260backed Magic | 28c | 60.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…be3dbacked Magic | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…c014backed Cavaliers | 75c | 54.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ee…7870backed Magic | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Magic | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b7…777ebacked Cavaliers | 73c | 47.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb19…10bdbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 43.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…43c1backed Cavaliers | 73c | 42.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…812dbacked Magic | 28c | 42.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Cavaliers | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…1becbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b6…4c81backed Cavaliers | 73c | 36.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Cavaliers | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…1fafbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf224…b039backed Cavaliers | 73c | 23.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cavaliers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…2071backed Cavaliers | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2027backed Cavaliers | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Cavaliers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…c1bcbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.