TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2024-10-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8767…a37fbacked Yes56c3,554$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.763043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked No44c2,756$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.5810650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88014659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No43c1,999$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.7715337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No27c1,164$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.537841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No43c1,160$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.778145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed No46c1,001$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.551050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da9…7120backed Yes53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No45c999.94$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes56c964.09$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.229044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a9…571cbacked No47c887.23$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa798…492ebacked Yes59c852.89$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes55c712.43$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.644939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2026…bd92backed Yes57c614.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b0…529bbacked Yes56c596.09$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.282853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed Yes53c550.94$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.313951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes63c527.45$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.461838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2450…947ebacked Yes58c517.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.16540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f6…8afbbacked No44c495.49$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.413953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes56c478.03$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.3315554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…ef38backed Yes58c413.79$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.79714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-75.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ee…6c29backed No49c412.92$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13a6…ee95backed No36c373.62$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.325554.5%30 W · 25 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No45c359.96$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.989943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8815636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes61c325.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.865740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes56c258.48$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.734042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes77c253.51$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.789361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x208d…362dbacked Yes56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes57c250$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.55641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No36c240.13$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4519743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x47dc…eec9backed Yes71c209.96$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.963953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…7a1dbacked Yes53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce0…2ae5backed No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe935…cdd5backed Yes57c174.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.246100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ea3…f09abacked Yes57c172.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x486b…9f23backed Yes58c168.95$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.961040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1645…47a0backed Yes60c166.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.683040%12 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3ef…2891backed No45c164.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7440%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x299a…890abacked Yes61c153.19$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes53c149.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9918232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed No45c149.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.463534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb08a…ab1dbacked No37c133.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x484c…017ebacked Yes56c124.43$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.432725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc2fa…43adbacked Yes57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a32…2151backed Yes55c109.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.07333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed Yes57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.267949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013652.2%71 W · 65 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2111353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceba…9898backed No51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes56c94.68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.668365.1%54 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc372…00aabacked No44c90.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes55c90.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4416953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddab…bd3ebacked Yes57c87.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4313149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…b19dbacked Yes57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.18862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4354…b65bbacked Yes54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes56c62.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.413751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa319…bd72backed Yes56c60.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.791464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd430…d683backed Yes56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes56c57.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3732736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.575952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaaf…a2e3backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6329146%134 W · 157 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.516060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0205…2555backed Yes58c49.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Yes56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.643348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9542…1a68backed Yes77c42.78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a97…0fc7backed Yes56c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb52d…e521backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x602c…7da0backed Yes55c32.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.736159%36 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4057…03b6backed Yes56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes56c29.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.976747.8%32 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f9…25ccbacked Yes55c28.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c4…3428backed No47c28.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…a1e0backed Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079a…ff3abacked Yes56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7799…0bd5backed No45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…b65fbacked No45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a0a…a616backed Yes56c26.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes54c24.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.493836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x662f…76ecbacked No46c24.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a2…444cbacked Yes60c23.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Yes57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0520059.5%119 W · 81 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3d…9964backed Yes55c20.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa468…d83bbacked Yes62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8709…ba63backed Yes55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6807…391ebacked Yes56c19.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.791947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4697…92b3backed Yes56c18.46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb2…6dbebacked Yes56c18.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b27…562abacked Yes56c18.11$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.