Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2024-10-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5716e4c94de53509b56e4e6978bf8c75883351a2d142dd46740c49ad109c290f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8767…a37fbacked Yes | 56c | 3,554$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.76 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 44c | 2,756$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.58 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 43c | 1,999$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.77 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 27c | 1,164$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.77 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed No | 46c | 1,001$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed Yes | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 45c | 999.94$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 56c | 964.09$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.2 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…571cbacked No | 47c | 887.23$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa798…492ebacked Yes | 59c | 852.89$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 55c | 712.43$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.6 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2026…bd92backed Yes | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 56c | 596.09$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 53c | 550.94$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.31 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes | 63c | 527.45$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2450…947ebacked Yes | 58c | 517.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 44c | 495.49$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.41 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 56c | 478.03$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.33 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…ef38backed Yes | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed No | 49c | 412.92$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 36c | 373.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 45c | 359.96$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 61c | 325.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 56c | 258.48$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 77c | 253.51$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 36c | 240.13$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 71c | 209.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…7a1dbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…2ae5backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed Yes | 57c | 174.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea3…f09abacked Yes | 57c | 172.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…9f23backed Yes | 58c | 168.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 60c | 166.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…2891backed No | 45c | 164.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299a…890abacked Yes | 61c | 153.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed No | 45c | 149.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb08a…ab1dbacked No | 37c | 133.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 56c | 124.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fa…43adbacked Yes | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a32…2151backed Yes | 55c | 109.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…9898backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 56c | 94.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked No | 44c | 90.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 55c | 90.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…bd3ebacked Yes | 57c | 87.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…b19dbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 56c | 62.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…bd72backed Yes | 56c | 60.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…d683backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 56c | 57.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…a2e3backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0205…2555backed Yes | 58c | 49.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…1a68backed Yes | 77c | 42.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a97…0fc7backed Yes | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…e521backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed Yes | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…03b6backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 56c | 29.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…25ccbacked Yes | 55c | 28.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c4…3428backed No | 47c | 28.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…ff3abacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…0bd5backed No | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…b65fbacked No | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0a…a616backed Yes | 56c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes | 54c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…76ecbacked No | 46c | 24.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…444cbacked Yes | 60c | 23.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…9964backed Yes | 55c | 20.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…d83bbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…ba63backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Yes | 56c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4697…92b3backed Yes | 56c | 18.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…6dbebacked Yes | 56c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b27…562abacked Yes | 56c | 18.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-10-27?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-10-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.