TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 555 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9520…fa6ebacked Bulls0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Bulls49c15,012$7,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,320.387248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Bulls65c10,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,45072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hawks32c8,844$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,014.1259653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hawks65c8,635$5,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.1549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Bulls68c6,887$4,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,67515763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Bulls57c6,238$3,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,581.8537448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks33c6,058$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.461,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Bulls20c5,233$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.3126235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks67c4,030$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.81,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks30c3,800$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6521,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls54c3,402$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.2165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bulls38c3,231$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.7361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Hawks32c3,224$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.2711656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Bulls21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63031935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Bulls69c2,864$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.139557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7d…f776backed Hawks75c2,658$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.232147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Hawks79c2,615$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.2211164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls3c1,879$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbab3…9c34backed Hawks73c1,792$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks43c1,789$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0173,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Bulls58c1,506$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.9476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Bulls68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f86…9f1dbacked Hawks43c1,370$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Hawks75c1,313$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.2529858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…f7d7backed Bulls66c1,276$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.943262.5%20 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+57.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbf9c…57f9backed Bulls56c1,271$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7151070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks39c1,200$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.9973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks35c1,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bulls68c1,185$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls1c1,100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7310…ddfdbacked Bulls69c1,096$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.411353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d3…ef20backed Bulls68c1,041$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Bulls1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd962…f11fbacked Bulls63c988.2$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x527c…5f6cbacked Hawks33c985.85$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Hawks34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.359739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6150…13f7backed Hawks78c879.06$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.393240.6%13 W · 19 L-6.9wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Bulls22c874.6$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9529661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7103…b192backed Hawks40c870.02$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.136841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls55c851.23$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.1875347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0e…113dbacked Hawks46c839$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.14052.5%21 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Hawks79c820.87$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9515646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Bulls60c804$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.46253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Bulls54c799.92$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9650453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Bulls66c787.12$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.52560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks39c780.4$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.4896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x879b…9cb2backed Hawks33c756.08$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.571136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Bulls14c699.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Bulls44c690.33$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.7553134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Hawks33c666.19$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Hawks34c592.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.061,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bulls6c540$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f64…326cbacked Bulls56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d5…2e07backed Hawks38c526.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.977345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Bulls4c500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hawks47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26589353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd65…9bc7backed Hawks37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Hawks79c486.09$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0925865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Hawks32c468.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7724844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Hawks65c463.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6226934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Bulls60c456$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.1619845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bulls54c407.11$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8437954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Hawks31c399.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.9935046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Bulls40c393.34$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.526041.2%107 W · 153 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls37c383.57$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.715,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Hawks38c379.86$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.916341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hawks33c377.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.2471747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Hawks33c376.15$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0223048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Hawks40c373.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7438132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8c…eb27backed Hawks45c355.56$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.566253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Hawks34c333.02$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9620245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks41c330.23$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd45…63bfbacked Bulls55c323.24$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.784344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Bulls27c322.22$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8765218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Bulls68c313.24$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2132360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4295…ad81backed Hawks32c312.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.461172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefbd…efd1backed Hawks45c311.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.113348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Hawks77c311.07$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.11616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks38c300.01$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.2385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Hawks33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20129635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0d…1598backed Bulls40c299.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9710163.4%64 W · 37 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hawks46c299.94$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.971,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe08e…646dbacked Bulls67c299.05$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.897950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Hawks34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.125954.2%32 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Hawks34c271$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2173445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Hawks33c269.86$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.816045%27 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls59c268.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Bulls56c261.94$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2470951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d65…a4abbacked Bulls56c256.73$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd64a…2fa2backed Hawks43c254.53$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.915640.4%63 W · 93 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls46c253.16$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.661,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21bd…ae93backed Hawks69c250.84$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7611259.8%67 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bulls51c250.66$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Hawks33c250$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.588335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Bulls56c234$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.044841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf24e…7aaebacked Bulls56c231.88$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c25…2d4dbacked Hawks45c231.11$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054a…630bbacked Hawks46c226.09$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…ec8dbacked Bulls55c225.75$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.