TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$297,064

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 702 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9483…39b2backed Pistons49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.956863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Suns56c14,259$7,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,343.4165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Pistons45c7,501$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.5747542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d4…6f09backed Pistons50c4,786$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.553759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Suns56c4,766$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.5611249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Pistons45c4,602$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.893534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Pistons39c4,465$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.5631935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Pistons2c4,429$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4263445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Suns52c3,757$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.6336843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Suns69c3,617$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.7847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Suns49c3,560$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.286152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Suns52c3,297$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.2461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Suns52c3,204$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.0311834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Suns60c3,012$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.6913140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pistons50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons46c1,823$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.053,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Suns62c1,800$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9515763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7103…b192backed Suns49c1,734$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.386841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c83…bd2abacked Suns60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.67785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf2…26e5backed Suns54c1,574$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.083066.7%20 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns51c1,550$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pistons47c1,467$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.4562351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Suns51c1,374$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.8661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Pistons2c1,350$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Suns53c1,270$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.1218632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Suns55c1,227$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.1770951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5224…9e8bbacked Pistons67c1,194$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Suns58c1,104$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.317450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d47…b10cbacked Pistons46c1,090$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Pistons15c1,088$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8226235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ebf…6925backed Suns55c1,076$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x817f…9802backed Suns55c1,075$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.741172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+48.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc639…997fbacked Pistons46c1,070$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Suns51c1,028$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5285347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f05…4480backed Suns69c1,018$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.331656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pistons52c1,009$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.0738027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Suns51c1,008$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.7650245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Suns54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71bc…28f4backed Suns54c999.94$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.973231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Suns50c999.7$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.2224855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39bc…8af7backed Pistons49c993.88$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd67e…f1b8backed Suns52c991.11$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pistons50c940$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons11c924.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.241,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd078…6251backed Pistons12c863.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pistons51c855.84$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.715,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Pistons51c827.3$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.925151%26 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab7…953abacked Suns47c819$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.284632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons4c800$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Suns46c797.57$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.2953134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Pistons48c783.4$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.326640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a0…3d33backed Suns53c756.42$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.522842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Suns51c750.01$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.569646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Pistons34c734.78$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25038132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Suns59c729.7$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.0949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Pistons34c701.68$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407622.4%17 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Pistons46c654.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2427939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf2…6432backed Pistons26c646.32$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.43748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Suns51c637.04$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.51,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Suns62c634.56$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.132832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Pistons45c620.69$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Suns49c606.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2441742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Pistons44c600$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26516341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Pistons46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27627731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x369d…6d58backed Pistons50c588.58$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Suns51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.248952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns51c587.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.062,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pistons46c578.08$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26475347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…432ebacked Pistons51c576.06$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f09…6ed9backed Pistons47c526.97$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.251921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfeea…d48bbacked Pistons51c519.02$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Suns51c501.8$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8812657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Pistons48c500.24$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.2615741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Suns50c499.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns49c496.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.911,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba40…ea29backed Suns51c482.85$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.28825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Suns43c467.64$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.566943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns50c465.74$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.871,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c75…6e78backed Pistons47c462.55$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.151330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Pistons45c450$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.529661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Pistons46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Pistons47c426.89$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6517047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns50c426.15$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.081,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pistons49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Pistons31c404.76$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12565218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Suns54c401.75$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Suns52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19289353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Suns55c392.97$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8411662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdede…149ebacked Suns55c374.55$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.555152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pistons48c354.75$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6785542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons48c352.02$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.371,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ff…150dbacked Pistons48c350$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Suns63c344.21$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Suns50c337.48$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.237860.3%47 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed09…de44backed Suns52c335$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb52…314abacked Pistons47c326.33$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pistons45c315$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8527735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39eb…7240backed Pistons48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pistons46c304.07$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Suns52c299.98$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4950453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.