Fifa International · resolved market
Will Czech Republic beat Ukraine?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20d9d2f90a5c085aa3c8716b95725ac0291b6ddda6ba169715ac80fe0161e7da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked No | 41c | 293.89$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 61c | 288.41$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 59c | 270.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 35c | 250$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 31c | 102.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 62c | 95.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 65c | 63.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…c8e4backed Yes | 39c | 40.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 65c | 36.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024b…83c2backed Yes | 39c | 26.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czech Republic beat Ukraine?this page
- Will Ukraine beat Czech Republic?No won
- Will the match between Ukraine and Czech Republic end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.