Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ukraine beat Czech Republic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x747cb74e372d1f2352d47ed93692a2f028f5e937cc53c32e3612bbd462c8812b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 65c | 871.73$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.1 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 65c | 704.21$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 32c | 611$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 32c | 379$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 73c | 235.55$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 33c | 206.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f13…19b4backed Yes | 35c | 176.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Yes | 38c | 126.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 62c | 126.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…6af7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Yes | 34c | 91.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…797fbacked No | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f2…7db0backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024b…83c2backed Yes | 31c | 41.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c2…498ebacked Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 79c | 26.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine beat Czech Republic?this page
- Will Czech Republic beat Ukraine?No won
- Will the match between Ukraine and Czech Republic end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.