Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Galatasaray beat PAOK?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82ffcd4a684937777c4be9767da13ba1a8e006d9ddb38948ecaaef705acca119
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 39c | 2,677$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.45 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 60c | 2,173$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,775$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 39c | 1,608$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 32c | 1,530$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.49 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…0901backed Yes | 69c | 1,458$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 41c | 1,326$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.96 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 3c | 1,187$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 38c | 1,023$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.22 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 3c | 832.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked Yes | 58c | 686.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed Yes | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdb…148ebacked Yes | 60c | 509.83$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…5179backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3c55backed Yes | 60c | 446.08$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…509dbacked No | 40c | 432.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 49c | 421.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.43 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 61c | 358.71$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…7475backed No | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…5a3abacked Yes | 60c | 335$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd965…e76ebacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaff…7d46backed No | 40c | 318.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 37c | 295.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…e52fbacked No | 42c | 265.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 79c | 176.89$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…2be5backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…8cb4backed No | 38c | 147.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…bdc4backed No | 40c | 136.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…e746backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…2404backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…15d7backed Yes | 60c | 76.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…d829backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…e40dbacked Yes | 64c | 71.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…98dbbacked Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…ebd9backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee9…353abacked Yes | 63c | 56.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c2…e83ebacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…3cb2backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…ff3abacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3676…c975backed Yes | 60c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e6…0b86backed Yes | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 38c | 40.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…3a69backed Yes | 62c | 40.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 38c | 40.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 58c | 34.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…f4a3backed Yes | 63c | 33.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…68c7backed Yes | 62c | 31.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…ac4fbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…cf53backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5047…1020backed Yes | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 62c | 22.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…2ae3backed Yes | 60c | 16.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…00b6backed Yes | 63c | 16.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…7333backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Galatasaray beat PAOK?this page
- Will PAOK beat Galatasaray?No won
- Will the match between Galatasaray and PAOK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.