Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Braga beat Maccabi TLV?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ea7d8068480299ef8bf631ebd2046b3df62726ec5a8d66dec8fa4496290263c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 35c | 1,880$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 63c | 909.17$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.39 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 74c | 566.57$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.9 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 44c | 378.62$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.23 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 33c | 300$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 62c | 207.81$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d74…ffb3backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…811abacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 36c | 97.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 64c | 78.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed Yes | 60c | 69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9504…0371backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…10ccbacked Yes | 59c | 35.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…55dbbacked Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1409…0392backed No | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…bb98backed Yes | 63c | 32.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ea…158dbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…14e4backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 51c | 29.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…7eb8backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…07c3backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d0…c678backed Yes | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 66c | 15.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Braga beat Maccabi TLV?this page
- Will Maccabi TLV beat Braga?No won
- Will the match between Braga vs. Maccabi TLV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.