Fifa International · resolved market
Will Portugal beat Scotland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20bc3bad235af7d33aa0007846bfb643b802e6d2f66245e82a38280c7bc29d8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 35c | 16,739$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,896.85 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,321$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…1961backed Yes | 65c | 4,534$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 7c | 4,192$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Yes | 64c | 3,750$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 66c | 3,226$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.07 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 36c | 2,938$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.76 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2f…746cbacked Yes | 67c | 2,451$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…ceebbacked No | 37c | 2,449$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…1af3backed No | 35c | 2,449$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…8c35backed Yes | 66c | 2,448$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…0789backed No | 39c | 2,179$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…452fbacked Yes | 64c | 2,178$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 61c | 2,024$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e785backed Yes | 66c | 1,980$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…3ef4backed No | 35c | 1,980$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 35c | 1,750$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.44 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 60c | 1,554$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Yes | 65c | 1,494$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,102$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…26c4backed No | 35c | 899.03$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…0042backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…36bebacked Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…c452backed Yes | 64c | 629.42$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa24…3d23backed No | 35c | 595.49$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…5355backed Yes | 64c | 585.61$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 57c | 531.15$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…9e52backed Yes | 65c | 500$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 65c | 491.49$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.47 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe6…928abacked No | 35c | 471.54$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 47c | 424.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.04 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes | 64c | 414.15$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…d146backed Yes | 32c | 399$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…d46abacked Yes | 66c | 398.64$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…34ffbacked No | 37c | 397.05$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…1f88backed No | 35c | 349.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc681…14cbbacked Yes | 56c | 312.85$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Yes | 65c | 299.47$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 35c | 292$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…91d2backed No | 35c | 285.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 65c | 256.38$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadbb…3da1backed Yes | 65c | 254.91$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…5962backed Yes | 65c | 208.38$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…6bd6backed No | 35c | 174.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 56c | 170.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…f0d6backed Yes | 65c | 154.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a1…7235backed Yes | 65c | 152.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 61c | 149.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes | 67c | 149.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d16…a1b6backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba2…f2aabacked Yes | 63c | 145$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…f8dcbacked Yes | 67c | 137.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 44c | 124.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 330 | 59.1%195 W · 135 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…57f3backed Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…785fbacked Yes | 66c | 121.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes | 64c | 108.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…2820backed Yes | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…a596backed Yes | 65c | 105.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fac7backed Yes | 66c | 100.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…2c79backed No | 35c | 95.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…721abacked No | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…dc17backed Yes | 64c | 89.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…52fabacked Yes | 65c | 82.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…782dbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…b392backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…1b79backed Yes | 66c | 75.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…c534backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…cab7backed No | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…64f4backed Yes | 64c | 72.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d64…f082backed Yes | 65c | 70.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes | 57c | 69.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1903…3089backed No | 37c | 68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95df…8878backed Yes | 66c | 65.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeea…76b9backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…b44cbacked Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 37c | 58.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 56.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Yes | 63c | 55.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c1…c3bcbacked Yes | 65c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…7d08backed No | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 66c | 52.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa950…62f2backed No | 39c | 50.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portugal beat Scotland?this page
- Will Scotland beat Portugal?No won
- Will the match between Scotland and Portugal end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.