World Politics · resolved market
Will Anura Dissanayake win the Sri Lankan presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39e3f2dff22404bca286d4aa0c2027a37f3da97a6760be3bb129c986f145e4ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc411…caa7backed No | 26c | 4,967$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.37 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +265.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…36b4backed Yes | 65c | 1,547$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…e141backed Yes | 65c | 1,529$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,004$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Yes | 72c | 924.99$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.28 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35df…e4a7backed No | 21c | 851.1$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed No | 3c | 798.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 72c | 504.16$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 76c | 500$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…2819backed No | 21c | 489.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 49c | 486.19$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.07 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 442.29$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 60c | 390$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…2b79backed No | 44c | 360.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Yes | 79c | 318.35$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 50c | 280.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.31 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed No | 34c | 279.07$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613d…d946backed Yes | 47c | 269.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 60c | 265.52$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…dbe0backed Yes | 79c | 259.48$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…be00backed No | 22c | 252.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d38…2122backed No | 34c | 231.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34e…40fcbacked Yes | 43c | 217.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 61c | 217.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 45c | 216.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Yes | 59c | 215.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ef…6dacbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 75c | 191.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 44c | 191.48$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad79…1997backed No | 23c | 176.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 38c | 159.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…6424backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 140.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…a2f3backed Yes | 45c | 121.61$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 54c | 111$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 71c | 96.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…fae2backed No | 43c | 96.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Yes | 40c | 94.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 40c | 89.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…9af8backed Yes | 50c | 89.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked No | 58c | 88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…89b9backed Yes | 46c | 87.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab1…feffbacked No | 51c | 83.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb7…f16dbacked Yes | 71c | 77.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…0a4cbacked Yes | 79c | 65.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…d31fbacked Yes | 80c | 64.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…165abacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f5…22dabacked Yes | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf313…ebf7backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…fb73backed Yes | 80c | 52.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…2526backed No | 41c | 50.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…f14dbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…d06abacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ae74backed Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…6602backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc06e…91ddbacked Yes | 75c | 43.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…1002backed No | 50c | 42.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…8c13backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +179.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…b2b6backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 59c | 36.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…cdcbbacked Yes | 79c | 36.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f9…91e9backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes | 60c | 34.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…5b09backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45f8…6ea2backed Yes | 79c | 30.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0526…df50backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9556…f495backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…f3e2backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…5d72backed No | 57c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…83e5backed Yes | 46c | 23.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…ae23backed Yes | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc3…bec9backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…9704backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…101fbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anura Dissanayake win the Sri Lankan presidential election?this page
- Will Ranil Wickremesinghe win the Sri Lankan presidential election?No won
- Will Sajith Premadasa win the Sri Lankan presidential election?No won
- Will another candidate win the Sri Lankan presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.